Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Septemvri Simitli

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

No Data

No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Oborishte Panagyurishte host Septemvri Simitli in the Third League - South-West 2025/2026. Little to choose between these two on current form. Oborishte Panagyurishte have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Septemvri Simitli's 1.5 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Oborishte Panagyurishte have won 2 to Septemvri Simitli's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.31) point toward Oborishte Panagyurishte. Oborishte Panagyurishte in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Oborishte Panagyurishte
39%
Draws
30%
Septemvri Simitli
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Septemvri Simitli demonstrates higher offensive output (1.5 avg goals) than Oborishte Panagyurishte (1.13 avg goals).
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Third League - South-West 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Oborishte Panagyurishte Clean Sheet 18%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oborishte Panagyurishte Septemvri Simitli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Septemvri Simitli
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
1:1
Feb 26, 2025 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Septemvri Simitli
0:0
Aug 3, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
0:1
May 1, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oborishte Panagyurishte 32 / 100
Septemvri Simitli 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oborishte Panagyurishte Septemvri Simitli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oborishte Panagyurishte scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Septemvri Simitli let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Oborishte Panagyurishte went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Septemvri Simitli lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oborishte Panagyurishte VS Septemvri Simitli
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238