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AI Match Summary
Oborishte Panagyurishte host Septemvri Simitli in the Third League - South-West 2025/2026. Little to choose between these two on current form. Oborishte Panagyurishte have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Septemvri Simitli's 1.5 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Oborishte Panagyurishte have won 2 to Septemvri Simitli's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.31) point toward Oborishte Panagyurishte. Oborishte Panagyurishte in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Septemvri Simitli demonstrates higher offensive output (1.5 avg goals) than Oborishte Panagyurishte (1.13 avg goals).
- Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Third League - South-West 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oborishte Panagyurishte | Septemvri Simitli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Oborishte Panagyurishte scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Septemvri Simitli let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Oborishte Panagyurishte went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Septemvri Simitli lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |