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Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Septemvri Sofia 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oborishte Panagyurishte host Septemvri Sofia 2 in the Third League - South-West. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Oborishte Panagyurishte at 1.66 goals for, 1.07 against; Septemvri Sofia 2 at 1.71 for, 0.89 against. Past meetings favor Oborishte Panagyurishte slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.31, favoring Septemvri Sofia 2. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Oborishte Panagyurishte
15%
Draws
48%
Septemvri Sofia 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Septemvri Sofia 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Oborishte Panagyurishte haven't matched Septemvri Sofia 2's recent run of results.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Oborishte Panagyurishte Clean Sheet 18%
Septemvri Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oborishte Panagyurishte Septemvri Sofia 2
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.66 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Septemvri Sofia 2
2:0
Mar 12, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
3:2
Aug 17, 2024 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Septemvri Sofia 2
1:0
Apr 20, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oborishte Panagyurishte 31 / 100
Septemvri Sofia 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oborishte Panagyurishte Septemvri Sofia 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oborishte Panagyurishte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oborishte Panagyurishte scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Oborishte Panagyurishte went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Septemvri Sofia 2 let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Oborishte Panagyurishte VS Septemvri Sofia 2
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Oborishte Panagyurishte

(Home)
18 Oct
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 2
Slavia Sofia 2
07 Oct
Oborishte Panagyurishte
2 : 2
Kyustendil
04 Oct
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 3
Yantra Gabrovo
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3
Oborishte Panagyurishte
19 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
3 : 2
Strumska Slava
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Septemvri Sofia 2

(Away)
18 Oct
Minyor Pernik
3 : 0
Septemvri Sofia 2
10 Oct
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 1
Pirin Razlog
07 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 2
Septemvri Sofia 2
26 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
12 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
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