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OC Charleroi vs RWDM Brussels - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

OC Charleroi host RWDM Brussels in the National Division 1 - ACFF. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. OC Charleroi have averaged 1.11 scored and 2.19 conceded recently, against RWDM Brussels's 1.48 scored and 1.59 conceded. Past meetings favor RWDM Brussels slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.06 - 1.81) back RWDM Brussels to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
OC Charleroi
30%
Draws
47%
RWDM Brussels
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: RWDM Brussels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • RWDM Brussels carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
OC Charleroi Clean Sheet 11%
RWDM Brussels Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OC Charleroi RWDM Brussels
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 4 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.11 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.19 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Challenger Pro League
OC Charleroi vs RWDM Brussels
0:2
Dec 13, 2025 Challenger Pro League
RWDM Brussels vs OC Charleroi
3:3
Nov 1, 2023 Belgian Cup
RWDM Brussels vs OC Charleroi
1:0
Feb 15, 2020 National Division 1
OC Charleroi vs RWDM Brussels
0:0
Nov 9, 2019 National Division 1
RWDM Brussels vs OC Charleroi
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OC Charleroi 35 / 100
RWDM Brussels 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OC Charleroi RWDM Brussels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RWDM Brussels Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: OC Charleroi scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

RWDM Brussels's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

OC Charleroi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

OC Charleroi VS RWDM Brussels
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

OC Charleroi

(Home)
10 Oct
Charleroi B
1 : 1
OC Charleroi
03 Oct
OC Charleroi
1 : 1
Meux
30 Sept
Flenu
3 : 4
OC Charleroi
26 Sept
OC Charleroi
1 : 2
Habay La Neuve
19 Sept
OC Charleroi
1 : 3
Tubize-Braine
Page 1 of 6

RWDM Brussels

(Away)
10 Oct
RWDM Brussels
2 : 1
Tubize-Braine
03 Oct
St. Gilloise 2
4 : 2
RWDM Brussels
30 Sept
RWDM Brussels
1 : 1
Union Rochefortoise
19 Sept
Meux
0 : 1
RWDM Brussels
12 Sept
RWDM Brussels
1 : 0
Charleroi B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RWDM Brussels 8 6 1 1 13:7 19
2 Union Rochefortoise 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Meux 8 5 1 2 15:8 16
4 St. Gilloise 2 8 4 2 2 15:10 14
5 Tubize-Braine 8 4 2 2 11:10 14
6 Renaissance Mons 8 3 2 3 18:15 11
7 St. Liege U23 8 3 1 4 12:7 10
8 Charleroi B 8 2 4 2 9:8 10
9 OC Charleroi 8 2 3 3 10:17 9
10 Onhaye 8 2 0 6 10:20 6
11 Habay La Neuve 8 1 3 4 7:12 6
12 Flenu 8 0 1 7 10:26 1
Promotion - National Division 1 - ACFF (Promotion Group)
Relegation - National Division 1 - ACFF (Relegation Group)