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Stadium Background

Ocean Kerch vs Feodosiya

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Goloveshchenko D.
32' Event
Fominykh A. V.
Own Goal
84' Event
Korkin K.

AI Match Summary

Ocean Kerch in this Premier League (Crimea) matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ocean Kerch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ocean Kerch
40%
Draws
29%
Feodosiya
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Ocean Kerch have won more games recently than Feodosiya.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Premier League (Crimea) fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ocean Kerch Clean Sheet 14%
Feodosiya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ocean Kerch Feodosiya
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.5 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Feodosiya vs Ocean Kerch
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Feodosiya
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Feodosiya vs Ocean Kerch
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Feodosiya
0:0
Jun 22, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Feodosiya
8:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ocean Kerch Compare

Top Goalscorer Korkin K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Isaev R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Feodosiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Goloveshchenko D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ocean Kerch 31 / 100
Feodosiya 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ocean Kerch Feodosiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Feodosiya let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Feodosiya's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Ocean Kerch found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Ocean Kerch VS Feodosiya
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ocean Kerch

(Home)
27 Jun
MAK
3 : 0
Ocean Kerch
20 Jun
Sparta-KT
0 : 0
Ocean Kerch
14 Jun
Ocean Kerch
0 : 5
Zarechnoye
06 Jun
GFK Yalta
3 : 1
Ocean Kerch
24 May
Ocean Kerch
0 : 4
TSK Simferopol
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Feodosiya

(Away)
28 Jun
TSK Simferopol
5 : 1
Feodosiya
14 Jun
Feodosiya
0 : 0
MAK
06 Jun
Sparta-KT
3 : 0
Feodosiya
30 May
Feodosiya
2 : 3
Zarechnoye
24 May
GFK Yalta
6 : 0
Feodosiya
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