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Stadium Background

Ocean Kerch vs Sparta-KT

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea) 2025 Stadium 50th Anniversary of October, Kerch
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Lysymenko N.
36'
Krasov D.
42'
Kamara H.

AI Match Summary

Sparta-KT in this Premier League (Crimea) 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sparta-KT.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ocean Kerch
20%
Draws
16%
Sparta-KT
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ocean Kerch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ocean Kerch average 1.43 goals a game right now, well clear of Sparta-KT's 1.32.
  • Model gives Ocean Kerch a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ocean Kerch Clean Sheet 20%
Sparta-KT Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ocean Kerch Sparta-KT
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.43 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.54 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Sparta-KT vs Ocean Kerch
0:0
May 3, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Sparta-KT
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Sparta-KT
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Sparta-KT vs Ocean Kerch
0:1
Jun 15, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Sparta-KT vs Ocean Kerch
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ocean Kerch Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Sparta-KT Compare

Top Goalscorer Galchuk V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ocean Kerch 85 / 100
Sparta-KT 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ocean Kerch Sparta-KT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ocean Kerch Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sparta-KT conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Sparta-KT's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ocean Kerch scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ocean Kerch VS Sparta-KT
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ocean Kerch

(Home)
19 Sept
Ocean Kerch
1 : 2
GFK Yalta
05 Sept
TSK Simferopol
2 : 1
Ocean Kerch
30 Aug
Ocean Kerch
5 : 1
Feodosiya
27 Jun
MAK
3 : 0
Ocean Kerch
20 Jun
Sparta-KT
0 : 0
Ocean Kerch
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Sparta-KT

(Away)
09 Sept
Sparta-KT
1 : 6
MAK
30 Aug
Zarechnoye
6 : 1
Sparta-KT
27 Jun
GFK Yalta
9 : 0
Sparta-KT
20 Jun
Sparta-KT
0 : 0
Ocean Kerch
14 Jun
Sparta-KT
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
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