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Ocean Kerch vs Sparta-KT Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Ablaev M.
47' Event
Bondar E.
Own Goal
56' Event

AI Match Summary

The Premier League (Crimea) game between Ocean Kerch and Sparta-KT finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ocean Kerch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ocean Kerch
15%
Draws
21%
Sparta-KT
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ocean Kerch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ocean Kerch's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what Sparta-KT have produced (1.28).
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Ocean Kerch taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Premier League (Crimea) fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ocean Kerch Clean Sheet 20%
Sparta-KT Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ocean Kerch Sparta-KT
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Sparta-KT
4:1
Jun 20, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Sparta-KT vs Ocean Kerch
0:0
May 3, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Sparta-KT
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Sparta-KT
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Sparta-KT vs Ocean Kerch
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ocean Kerch Compare

Top Goalscorer Kishiev E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harutyunyan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Sparta-KT Compare

Top Goalscorer Ablaev M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ocean Kerch 85 / 100
Sparta-KT 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ocean Kerch Sparta-KT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ocean Kerch Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta-KT has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Sparta-KT lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Ocean Kerch scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Ocean Kerch VS Sparta-KT
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ocean Kerch

(Home)
27 Sept
Ocean Kerch
0 : 2
Zarechnoye
19 Sept
Ocean Kerch
1 : 2
GFK Yalta
05 Sept
TSK Simferopol
2 : 1
Ocean Kerch
30 Aug
Ocean Kerch
5 : 1
Feodosiya
27 Jun
MAK
3 : 0
Ocean Kerch
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Sparta-KT

(Away)
27 Sept
TSK Simferopol
11 : 0
Sparta-KT
09 Sept
Sparta-KT
1 : 6
MAK
30 Aug
Zarechnoye
6 : 1
Sparta-KT
27 Jun
GFK Yalta
9 : 0
Sparta-KT
20 Jun
Sparta-KT
0 : 0
Ocean Kerch
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