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Ocean Kerch vs TSK Simferopol

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ocean Kerch host TSK Simferopol in the Premier League (Crimea). History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Ocean Kerch have averaged 1.45 scored and 1.59 conceded recently, against TSK Simferopol's 2.48 scored and 1.1 conceded. Past meetings favor TSK Simferopol slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 2.75) point toward TSK Simferopol. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ocean Kerch
15%
Draws
64%
TSK Simferopol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TSK Simferopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • TSK Simferopol have won more games recently than Ocean Kerch.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on TSK Simferopol taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and TSK Simferopol have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ocean Kerch Clean Sheet 10%
TSK Simferopol Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ocean Kerch TSK Simferopol
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.45 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs Ocean Kerch
2:1
May 24, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs TSK Simferopol
0:4
Apr 4, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs Ocean Kerch
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs TSK Simferopol
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs Ocean Kerch
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ocean Kerch 10 / 100
TSK Simferopol 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ocean Kerch TSK Simferopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSK Simferopol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSK Simferopol let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ocean Kerch scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Ocean Kerch stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ocean Kerch VS TSK Simferopol
0.75 Goals Scored 2.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ocean Kerch

(Home)
05 Sept
TSK Simferopol
2 : 1
Ocean Kerch
30 Aug
Ocean Kerch
5 : 1
Feodosiya
27 Jun
MAK
3 : 0
Ocean Kerch
20 Jun
Sparta-KT
0 : 0
Ocean Kerch
14 Jun
Ocean Kerch
0 : 5
Zarechnoye
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TSK Simferopol

(Away)
09 Sept
TSK Simferopol
4 : 0
GFK Yalta
05 Sept
TSK Simferopol
2 : 1
Ocean Kerch
28 Jun
TSK Simferopol
5 : 1
Feodosiya
20 Jun
TSK Simferopol
2 : 3
MAK
14 Jun
Sparta-KT
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
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