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Ocean Kerch vs Zarechnoye

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Tsoi V.
(Penalty)
67' Event
Nuridinov D.
81' Event
Udin Y.

AI Match Summary

Zarechnoye in this Premier League (Crimea) matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zarechnoye.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ocean Kerch
20%
Draws
51%
Zarechnoye
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zarechnoye

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zarechnoye lately — more wins on the board than Ocean Kerch.
  • Zarechnoye are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Premier League (Crimea) fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ocean Kerch Clean Sheet 10%
Zarechnoye Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ocean Kerch Zarechnoye
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.41 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Zarechnoye
0:5
Apr 29, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs Ocean Kerch
0:0
Oct 26, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Zarechnoye
1:1
Oct 22, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs Ocean Kerch
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Zarechnoye
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ocean Kerch Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Zarechnoye Compare

Top Goalscorer Udin Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nuridinov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ocean Kerch 10 / 100
Zarechnoye 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ocean Kerch Zarechnoye

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zarechnoye Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zarechnoye's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Ocean Kerch's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ocean Kerch went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ocean Kerch VS Zarechnoye
1.13 Goals Scored 2.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ocean Kerch

(Home)
19 Sept
Ocean Kerch
1 : 2
GFK Yalta
05 Sept
TSK Simferopol
2 : 1
Ocean Kerch
30 Aug
Ocean Kerch
5 : 1
Feodosiya
27 Jun
MAK
3 : 0
Ocean Kerch
20 Jun
Sparta-KT
0 : 0
Ocean Kerch
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Zarechnoye

(Away)
19 Sept
Zarechnoye
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
09 Sept
Zarechnoye
5 : 0
Feodosiya
05 Sept
MAK
1 : 1
Zarechnoye
30 Aug
Zarechnoye
6 : 1
Sparta-KT
20 Jun
GFK Yalta
2 : 1
Zarechnoye
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