Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ocna Mures vs Univ. Craiova

Romania Romania

Romanian Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ocna Mures play Univ. Craiova in the Romanian Cup 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ocna Mures averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.87 conceded. Univ. Craiova averaged 1.61 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. In past meetings, Ocna Mures won 0, Univ. Craiova won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 9, 2022 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Ocna Mures and 1.18 for Univ. Craiova. This points to a Univ. Craiova double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Ocna Mures
20%
Draws
55%
Univ. Craiova
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Univ. Craiova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Ocna Mures picked up more points recently compared to Univ. Craiova.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Ocna Mures Clean Sheet 20%
Univ. Craiova Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ocna Mures Univ. Craiova
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 17
Draws 4 7
Losses 19 4
Goals Scored 1.4 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.87 0.89

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2022 Romanian Cup
Ocna Mures vs Univ. Craiova
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ocna Mures Compare

Top Goalscorer Cioarga P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Univ. Craiova Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ocna Mures 27 / 100
Univ. Craiova 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ocna Mures Univ. Craiova

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Univ. Craiova Win (2)
Secondary Pick Univ. Craiova & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ocna Mures attacking → ← attacking Univ. Craiova

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ocna Mures scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Univ. Craiova let in goals in 50% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ocna Mures went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Univ. Craiova lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 58
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sepsi330010:39
2FC U Craiova32102:07
3Voluntari31021:53
4Dinamo Bucuresti30215:62
5Unirea Slobozia30213:42
6Petrolul30121:41
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC UTA Arad32108:37
2Mioveni32012:36
3FCSB31204:25
4FC Buzau31023:43
5FC Botosani31021:33
6Otelul30120:31
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CFR Cluj31206:15
2Universitatea Cluj31205:15
3Farul Constanta31204:25
4Rapid Bucuresti31114:34
5CSC Dumbravita31025:93
6CSM Alexandria30122:101
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Hermannstadt32017:56
2Campionii Arges31203:25
3Baia Mare31118:34
4Univ. Craiova31114:34
5Ocna Mures31112:74
6Chindia Targoviste30122:61