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Ocotal vs Xilotepelt

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Primera Division 2010/2011
Ocotal Logo

Ocotal

2 - 1
FT
Xilotepelt Logo

Xilotepelt

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2010/2011 game between Ocotal and Xilotepelt finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ocotal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ocotal
15%
Draws
21%
Xilotepelt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ocotal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ocotal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ocotal's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Division 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ocotal Clean Sheet 14%
Xilotepelt Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ocotal Xilotepelt
Matches Played 38 34
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 24 18
Goals Scored 1.08 0.94
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2013 Liga Primera
Ocotal vs Xilotepelt
3:1
Mar 3, 2013 Liga Primera
Xilotepelt vs Ocotal
1:1
Sep 30, 2012 Liga Primera
Ocotal vs Xilotepelt
3:0
Aug 19, 2012 Liga Primera
Xilotepelt vs Ocotal
5:1
Mar 20, 2011 Liga Primera
Xilotepelt vs Ocotal
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ocotal 84 / 100
Xilotepelt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ocotal Xilotepelt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ocotal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Xilotepelt has conceded goals in 76% of their last 34 outings.

Away concern: Xilotepelt has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Ocotal scored in 58% of their last 38 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ocotal VS Xilotepelt
1 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ocotal

(Home)
30 Apr
Ocotal
0 : 2
Diriangen
27 Apr
Sport Sebaco
2 : 1
Ocotal
17 Apr
Esteli
3 : 2
Ocotal
13 Apr
UNAN-Managua
4 : 0
Ocotal
07 Apr
Ocotal
2 : 0
Rancho Santana
Page 1 of 8

Xilotepelt

(Away)
11 Jul
Esteli
2 : 0
Xilotepelt
04 Jul
Xilotepelt
0 : 1
Esteli
27 Apr
Xilotepelt
3 : 5
Juventus FC
21 Apr
Ocotal
3 : 1
Xilotepelt
14 Apr
Xilotepelt
0 : 0
Chinandega
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walter Ferreti 14 8 3 3 26:18 27
2 Diriangen 14 8 2 4 29:17 26
3 Managua FC 14 8 2 4 22:15 26
4 Real Madriz 14 6 4 4 16:19 22
5 Esteli 14 6 3 5 13:11 21
6 Xilotepelt 14 3 4 7 17:22 13
7 Ocotal 14 3 4 7 17:23 13
8 Diablos Rojos America 14 1 4 9 9:24 7
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Apertura - Play Offs)