Sport Picks

Réunion

Regionale 1 2023

Saint-Pauloise FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

OCSA Leopards play Saint-Pauloise FC in the Regionale 1 2023. Saint-Pauloise FC are favorites here. Recently, OCSA Leopards averaged 0.63 goals scored and 2 conceded. Saint-Pauloise FC averaged 1.65 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. In past meetings, OCSA Leopards won 2, Saint-Pauloise FC won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 24, 2023 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for OCSA Leopards and 1.00 for Saint-Pauloise FC. This points to a Saint-Pauloise FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%

OCSA Leopards

25%

Draws

60%

Saint-Pauloise FC

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Saint-Pauloise FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

OCSA Leopards picked up more points recently compared to Saint-Pauloise FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

OCSA Leopards Clean Sheet 23%

Saint-Pauloise FC Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	OCSA Leopards	Saint-Pauloise FC
Matches Played	30	40
Wins	2	20
Draws	7	12
Losses	21	8
Goals Scored	0.63	1.65
Goals Conceded	2	0.85

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2023 Regionale 1

OCSA Leopards vs Saint-Pauloise FC

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Apr 29, 2023 Regionale 1

Saint-Pauloise FC vs OCSA Leopards

Possession: 59% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Sep 9, 2018 Regionale 1

Saint-Pauloise FC vs OCSA Leopards

Possession: 40% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Apr 15, 2018 Regionale 1

OCSA Leopards vs Saint-Pauloise FC

Possession: 43% - 55% Cards: 4 - 1

2:4

Nov 5, 2017 Regionale 1

OCSA Leopards vs Saint-Pauloise FC

Possession: 57% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OCSA Leopards 18 / 100

Saint-Pauloise FC 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

OCSA Leopards Saint-Pauloise FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Pauloise FC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Saint-Pauloise FC & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +114.3%

14.29

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

OCSA Leopards attacking → ← attacking Saint-Pauloise FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OCSA Leopards scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Saint-Pauloise FC let in goals in 70% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

OCSA Leopards went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Saint-Pauloise FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 72

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00