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Odder vs Holbaek

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
El Haddouchi K.
27' Event
Rohde T.
43' Event
Olsen M.

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division 2025/2026 game between Odder and Holbaek finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holbaek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Odder
20%
Draws
51%
Holbaek
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Holbaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Odder haven't matched Holbaek's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Holbaek have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Odder Clean Sheet 10%
Holbaek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Odder Holbaek
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.62 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Odder
4:2
Apr 11, 2026 3rd Division
Odder vs Holbaek
1:4
Oct 18, 2025 3rd Division
Odder vs Holbaek
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Odder
0:0
May 17, 2025 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Odder
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Odder Compare

Top Goalscorer Rohde T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Holbaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Knaack A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader El Haddouchi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Odder 30 / 100
Holbaek 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Odder Holbaek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Odder scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Holbaek conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Odder went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Odder VS Holbaek
2.38 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Odder

(Home)
05 Aug
Odder
2 : 3
Skive
13 Jun
Lyseng
3 : 2
Odder
06 Jun
Odder
2 : 2
BK Frem
30 May
Sundby
3 : 3
Odder
22 May
Odder
2 : 0
Vejgaard
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Holbaek

(Away)
04 Aug
Holbaek
1 : 2
AB Copenhagen
01 Aug
Holbaek
2 : 1
BK Frem
18 Jul
Hellerup
1 : 3
Holbaek
14 Jul
Boldklubben 1893
3 : 1
Holbaek
13 Jun
Holbaek
1 : 0
Vejgaard
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