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Odra Opole vs Pogon Siedlce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Itaka Arena, Opole
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Odra Opole host Pogon Siedlce in the Division 1. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Pogon Siedlce have shipped 1.56 goals a game lately, while Odra Opole have conceded 1.14 and scored 0.97. Past meetings favor Odra Opole slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 6, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.06 - 0.94) back Odra Opole to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Odra Opole
15%
Draws
34%
Pogon Siedlce
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Odra Opole

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Odra Opole carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Odra Opole here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Odra Opole Clean Sheet 68%
Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Odra Opole Pogon Siedlce
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Division 1
Odra Opole vs Pogon Siedlce
1:0
Aug 3, 2025 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs Odra Opole
0:1
Dec 8, 2024 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs Odra Opole
0:1
Jul 28, 2024 Division 1
Odra Opole vs Pogon Siedlce
4:1
Nov 25, 2017 Division 1
Odra Opole vs Pogon Siedlce
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Odra Opole 41 / 100
Pogon Siedlce 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Odra Opole Pogon Siedlce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Odra Opole Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Odra Opole's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Pogon Siedlce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Pogon Siedlce lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Odra Opole VS Pogon Siedlce
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Odra Opole

(Home)
16 Oct
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 0
Odra Opole
11 Oct
Odra Opole
1 : 0
Legnica
02 Oct
Gornik Zabrze
0 : 2
Odra Opole
19 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
1 : 0
Odra Opole
13 Sept
Odra Opole
0 : 1
S. Rzeszow
Page 1 of 6

Pogon Siedlce

(Away)
18 Oct
Pogon Siedlce
3 : 4
S. Rzeszow
15 Oct
Pogon Siedlce
1 : 3
Puszcza
09 Oct
Podbeskidzie
1 : 0
Pogon Siedlce
20 Sept
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 1
Arka Gdynia
12 Sept
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 0
Pogon Siedlce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 19:9 21
2 Polonia Warszawa 11 6 2 3 18:13 20
3 Lechia Gdansk 11 6 1 4 21:17 19
4 Warta Poznan 11 6 0 5 19:15 18
5 LKS Lodz 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
6 Ruch Chorzow 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
7 Legnica 11 5 2 4 17:10 17
8 Termalica Bruk-Bet 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
9 S. Rzeszow 11 5 2 4 15:20 17
10 Polonia Bytom 11 3 6 2 18:19 15
11 Chrobry Glogow 11 3 3 5 13:15 12
12 Pogon Siedlce 11 3 3 5 13:15 12
13 Odra Opole 11 3 3 5 8:12 12
14 Stal Mielec 11 3 3 5 16:27 12
15 Arka Gdynia 11 3 2 6 13:15 11
16 Podbeskidzie 11 1 8 2 13:15 11
17 Unia Skierniewice 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
18 Puszcza 10 3 0 7 11:14 9
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)