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Stadium Background

Odra Wodzislaw vs Zielona Gora

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2022/2023 Stadion MOSiR
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Surozynski M.
41' Event
Elorhan
77' Event
Elorhan

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III 2022/2023 game between Odra Wodzislaw and Zielona Gora finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Odra Wodzislaw.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Odra Wodzislaw
6%
Draws
4%
Zielona Gora
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Odra Wodzislaw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Odra Wodzislaw haven't matched Zielona Gora's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Odra Wodzislaw a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zielona Gora here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Odra Wodzislaw Clean Sheet 19%
Zielona Gora Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Odra Wodzislaw Zielona Gora
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Odra Wodzislaw vs Zielona Gora
2:1
Oct 16, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Zielona Gora vs Odra Wodzislaw
5:0
May 8, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Odra Wodzislaw vs Zielona Gora
1:2
Oct 2, 2021 III Liga - Group III
Zielona Gora vs Odra Wodzislaw
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Odra Wodzislaw Compare

Top Goalscorer Elorhan
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Zielona Gora Compare

Top Goalscorer Surozynski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Odra Wodzislaw 85 / 100
Zielona Gora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Odra Wodzislaw Zielona Gora

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ODR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Odra Wodzislaw scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Odra Wodzislaw remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Zielona Gora's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zielona Gora
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Bytom34243769:3475
2RKS Rakow Czestochowa II34198764:3465
3Rekord Bielsko-Biala34198769:4265
4Sleza Wroclaw341931273:5560
5Carina Gubin341661247:4554
6Gornik Zabrze II341561368:6151
7Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory341491160:5251
8Kluczbork341461461:5548
9Zielona Gora3412111151:5147
10Goczalkowice Zdroj3412101241:4346
11Pniowek Pawlowice3412101264:6046
12Stilon Gorzow341351650:6244
13Warta Gorzow3411101342:5643
14Brzeg341071751:7537
15Polonia Nysa348121442:5036
16Legnica II34791845:6330
17Odra Wodzislaw34772057:8828
18Chrobry Glogow II34742342:7025