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Oeirense vs Picos

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Joao Paulo
26' Event
Martins P.
40' Event
Joao Paulo

AI Match Summary

The Piauiense 2024 game between Oeirense and Picos finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oeirense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Oeirense
20%
Draws
40%
Picos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Picos haven't matched Oeirense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Oeirense a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Oeirense Clean Sheet 20%
Picos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oeirense Picos
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 12 5
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2024 Piauiense
Oeirense vs Picos
4:1
Feb 24, 2024 Piauiense
Picos vs Oeirense
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oeirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Paulo
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martins P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Picos Compare

Top Goalscorer Rai
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oeirense 36 / 100
Picos 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oeirense Picos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Picos conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Oeirense's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Oeirense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oeirense VS Picos
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oeirense

(Home)
22 Feb
Oeirense
0 : 0
AE Altos
13 Feb
Piaui
2 : 1
Oeirense
08 Feb
Parnahyba
1 : 2
Oeirense
31 Jan
Oeirense
3 : 1
Corisabba
23 Jan
TEC
1 : 0
Oeirense
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Picos

(Away)
12 Sept
Picos
2 : 1
Comercial PI
05 Sept
River-PI
0 : 3
Picos
18 Oct
Corisabba
1 : 0
Picos
11 Oct
Picos
0 : 0
TEC
04 Oct
Flamengo PI
3 : 0
Picos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River-PI 8 6 1 1 17:6 19
2 Oeirense 8 6 1 1 13:4 19
3 AE Altos 8 5 2 1 12:7 17
4 Parnahyba 8 4 3 1 10:4 15
5 Fluminense-PI 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
6 Julho Esporte 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
7 Picos 8 0 2 6 7:18 2
8 Corisabba 8 0 1 7 4:20 1
Promotion - Piauiense 2024 (Play Offs)