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Offenburger vs Neckarsulm SU

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2022/2023
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Match Events

77' Event
Dzikang S.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2022/2023 game between Offenburger and Neckarsulm SU finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Offenburger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Offenburger
20%
Draws
40%
Neckarsulm SU
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Neckarsulm SU come out ahead of Offenburger on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Neckarsulm SU taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Offenburger Clean Sheet 16%
Neckarsulm SU Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Offenburger Neckarsulm SU
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 4 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 25 16
Goals Scored 1.21 1.27
Goals Conceded 3.06 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2023 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Offenburger vs Neckarsulm SU
1:0
Sep 28, 2022 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Neckarsulm SU vs Offenburger
3:0
Apr 15, 2017 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Neckarsulm SU vs Offenburger
2:1
Oct 8, 2016 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Offenburger vs Neckarsulm SU
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Offenburger Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzikang S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Neckarsulm SU Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Offenburger 10 / 100
Neckarsulm SU 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Offenburger Neckarsulm SU

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neckarsulm SU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neckarsulm SU's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 33 matches.

Offenburger scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Neckarsulm SU lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Offenburger VS Neckarsulm SU
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Offenburger

(Home)
08 Feb
Bahlinger
6 : 0
Offenburger
14 Jul
Oberachern
10 : 2
Offenburger
01 Jun
Offenburger
4 : 4
Denzlingen
18 May
VfR Mannheim
4 : 0
Offenburger
12 May
Offenburger
0 : 5
1. CfR Pforzheim
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Neckarsulm SU

(Away)
29 Jan
Astoria Walldorf
4 : 0
Neckarsulm SU
03 Feb
Neckarsulm SU
1 : 4
Freiberg
03 Feb
Backnang
1 : 1
Neckarsulm SU
12 Aug
Walldorf II
1 : 0
Neckarsulm SU
27 May
Oberachern
3 : 0
Neckarsulm SU
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stutt. Kickers 34 26 6 2 108:17 84
2 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 34 22 3 9 66:42 69
3 1. CfR Pforzheim 34 21 3 10 80:51 66
4 Goppinger 34 16 10 8 57:48 58
5 Mutschelbach 34 16 9 9 71:66 57
6 Oberachern 34 14 7 13 57:52 49
7 Holzhausen FC 34 13 9 12 69:62 48
8 Hollenbach 34 14 6 14 46:42 48
9 Bietigheim-Bissingen 34 14 5 15 68:72 47
10 FC Nottingen 34 13 6 15 68:66 45
11 FC 08 Villingen 34 12 8 14 69:62 44
12 Offenburger 34 11 7 16 48:75 40
13 Backnang 34 11 6 17 56:76 39
14 Reutlingen 34 10 7 17 46:63 37
15 Ravensburg 34 8 13 13 44:62 37
16 Rielasingen - Arlen 34 10 7 17 55:77 37
17 Neckarsulm SU 34 7 10 17 46:68 31
18 Freiburger 34 4 6 24 38:91 18
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)