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OFI Crete vs Bayer Leverkusen

Europe Europe

Europa League Pankritio Stadium, Heraklion
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

OFI Crete host Bayer Leverkusen in the Europa League. Little to choose between these two on current form. OFI Crete have averaged 1.63 scored and 1.37 conceded recently, against Bayer Leverkusen's 2.21 scored and 1.17 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.44, favoring Bayer Leverkusen. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
OFI Crete
20%
Draws
35%
Bayer Leverkusen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: OFI Crete

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Bayer Leverkusen at 2.21 per game, OFI Crete at 1.63.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
OFI Crete Clean Sheet 16%
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OFI Crete Bayer Leverkusen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.63 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OFI Crete 36 / 100
Bayer Leverkusen 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OFI Crete Bayer Leverkusen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayer Leverkusen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OFI Crete scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: OFI Crete remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Bayer Leverkusen conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: Bayer Leverkusen has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

OFI Crete VS Bayer Leverkusen
2 Goals Scored 2.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

OFI Crete

(Home)
20 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
17 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 0
Hoffenheim
12 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
0 : 1
OFI Crete
09 Sept
OFI Crete
3 : 0
Chrisoupolis
06 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 0
Kifisia
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Bayer Leverkusen

(Away)
20 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
RB Leipzig
16 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
Celje
12 Sept
Augsburg
2 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
05 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0
Union Berlin
29 Aug
Elversberg
3 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
3 Sparta Prague 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
4 Besiktas 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
5 Royale Union SG 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
6 Ferencvaros 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
7 Benfica 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 OFI Crete 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
11 Lyon 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
12 Torreense 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
13 Olympiacos Piraeus 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
14 Salzburg 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
15 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
16 Omonia 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
17 Sturm Graz 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
18 Rennes 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
19 Din. Zagreb 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
20 H. Beer Sheva 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
21 Jagiellonia 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
22 Real Sociedad 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
23 Anderlecht 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
24 Lillestrom 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
25 Celta Vigo 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
27 Levski Sofia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
28 Celtic 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
29 Hoffenheim 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
30 AC Milan 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
31 Celje 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
32 Marseille 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
33 Ararat-Armenia 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
34 Plzen 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
35 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
36 Nijmegen 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)