Sport Picks

Stadium Background

OFK Napredak vs Lipolist

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West 2024/2025
OFK Napredak Logo

OFK Napredak

3 - 1
FT
Lipolist Logo

Lipolist

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

OFK Napredak in this Srpska Liga - West 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored OFK Napredak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
OFK Napredak
35%
Draws
16%
Lipolist
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: OFK Napredak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • OFK Napredak average 1.16 goals a game right now, well clear of Lipolist's 0.87.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on OFK Napredak taking it.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - West 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
OFK Napredak Clean Sheet 20%
Lipolist Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OFK Napredak Lipolist
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 13 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.16 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Srpska Liga - West
OFK Napredak vs Lipolist
3:1
Sep 8, 2024 Srpska Liga - West
Lipolist vs OFK Napredak
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OFK Napredak 85 / 100
Lipolist 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OFK Napredak Lipolist

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OFK Napredak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OFK Napredak scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Lipolist has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: OFK Napredak remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

OFK Napredak VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

OFK Napredak

(Home)
29 Aug
Radnicki Valjevo
2 : 1
OFK Napredak
22 Aug
OFK Napredak
0 : 1
Sloga Pozega
15 Aug
FK Zlatibor Cajetina
0 : 0
OFK Napredak
07 Jun
FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac
0 : 0
OFK Napredak
31 May
OFK Napredak
1 : 1
Metalac
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Lipolist

(Away)
08 Jun
Josanica
6 : 2
Lipolist
01 Jun
Lipolist
1 : 2
Loznica
24 May
Mladi Radnik
3 : 2
Lipolist
18 May
Lipolist
2 : 2
Buducnost Krusik
10 May
Real Podunavci
5 : 0
Lipolist
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FAP 30 18 9 3 54:20 63
2 Metalac 30 14 8 8 30:22 50
3 Loznica 30 14 7 9 38:23 49
4 Real Podunavci 30 15 8 7 63:26 44
5 OFK Napredak 30 13 4 13 39:49 43
6 Buducnost Krusik 30 10 11 9 34:29 41
7 Sloga Pozega 30 12 4 14 25:31 40
8 Omladinac Zablace 30 13 9 8 35:30 39
9 Josanica 30 11 6 13 40:42 39
10 Takovo 30 11 5 14 37:41 38
11 FK Zlatibor Cajetina 30 9 11 10 31:47 38
12 Jedinstvo Putevi 30 12 2 16 36:36 38
13 Mladi Radnik 30 11 5 14 35:37 38
14 Polet Ljubic 30 8 8 14 40:49 32
15 Lipolist 30 8 7 15 26:44 31
16 Sloga Kraljevo 30 8 2 20 26:63 26
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 (Main)