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OFK Niksic vs Grbalj

Montenegro Montenegro

Druga Liga 2022/2023
OFK Niksic Logo

OFK Niksic

Sat, Mar 11, 2023
VS
04:00 PM
Grbalj Logo

Grbalj

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

OFK Niksic host Grbalj in the Druga Liga 2022/2023. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: OFK Niksic at 0.77 goals for, 1.69 against; Grbalj at 1.54 for, 1.36 against. Past meetings favor OFK Niksic slightly — 1-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2023, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.29 vs 1.30, favoring Grbalj. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
OFK Niksic
35%
Draws
39%
Grbalj
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Grbalj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Grbalj lately — more wins on the board than OFK Niksic.
  • 26% — that's where the model lands on OFK Niksic taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
OFK Niksic Clean Sheet 19%
Grbalj Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OFK Niksic Grbalj
Matches Played 13 28
Wins 3 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 0.77 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2023 Druga Liga
Grbalj vs OFK Niksic
0:0
Mar 11, 2023 Druga Liga
OFK Niksic vs Grbalj
0:0
Oct 16, 2022 Druga Liga
Grbalj vs OFK Niksic
1:1
Aug 28, 2022 Druga Liga
OFK Niksic vs Grbalj
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OFK Niksic 40 / 100
Grbalj 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OFK Niksic Grbalj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OFK Niksic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OFK Niksic scored in 62% of their last 13 games.

Grbalj's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

OFK Niksic has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Grbalj
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

OFK Niksic

(Home)
03 Dec
Igalo
3 : 1
OFK Niksic
27 Nov
Berane
3 : 1
OFK Niksic
20 Nov
OFK Niksic
0 : 0
Mladost DG
12 Nov
Otrant
0 : 2
OFK Niksic
05 Nov
OFK Niksic
1 : 3
Kom Podgorica
Page 1 of 3

Grbalj

(Away)
12 Sept
Grbalj
1 : 1
Lovcen
05 Sept
Jedinstvo
2 : 0
Grbalj
30 Aug
Grbalj
0 : 0
FK Podgorica
23 Aug
Budva
1 : 2
Grbalj
15 Aug
Grbalj
1 : 1
Zeta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mladost DG 32 16 6 10 38:38 53
2 Kom Podgorica 32 14 7 11 39:34 49
3 Berane 32 14 7 11 30:24 48
4 Bokelj 32 12 11 9 34:27 47
5 FK Podgorica 32 11 11 10 36:33 44
6 Grbalj 32 10 9 13 26:29 39
7 Igalo 32 9 11 12 33:34 38
8 Otrant 32 9 11 12 32:38 38
9 Zeta 32 9 7 16 30:41 34
Promotion - Prva Crnogorska Liga 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Druga Liga 2022/2023 (Promotion)