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OFK Vrbas vs Mladost Backi Jarak

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - Vojvodina game between OFK Vrbas and Mladost Backi Jarak finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward OFK Vrbas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
OFK Vrbas
15%
Draws
26%
Mladost Backi Jarak
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: OFK Vrbas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • OFK Vrbas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans OFK Vrbas's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
OFK Vrbas Clean Sheet 16%
Mladost Backi Jarak Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OFK Vrbas Mladost Backi Jarak
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.35 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
OFK Vrbas vs Mladost Backi Jarak
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Mladost Backi Jarak vs OFK Vrbas
0:0
Aug 23, 2025 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
OFK Vrbas vs Mladost Backi Jarak
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OFK Vrbas 57 / 100
Mladost Backi Jarak 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OFK Vrbas Mladost Backi Jarak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OFK Vrbas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: OFK Vrbas scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Mladost Backi Jarak has conceded goals in 74% of their last 34 outings.

Solid form: OFK Vrbas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Mladost Backi Jarak has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

OFK Vrbas VS Mladost Backi Jarak
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

OFK Vrbas

(Home)
19 Sept
Index
3 : 1
OFK Vrbas
12 Sept
OFK Vrbas
1 : 4
Zeleznicar Indjija
05 Sept
OFK Vrbas
1 : 0
Mladost Backi Jarak
30 Aug
Kabel Novi Sad
0 : 0
OFK Vrbas
22 Aug
OFK Vrbas
2 : 1
Gradnulica Zrenjanin
Page 1 of 7

Mladost Backi Jarak

(Away)
19 Sept
Zeleznicar Indjija
1 : 0
Mladost Backi Jarak
12 Sept
Mladost Backi Jarak
1 : 0
Sloven Ruma
05 Sept
OFK Vrbas
1 : 0
Mladost Backi Jarak
29 Aug
Mladost Backi Jarak
0 : 1
Tekstilac Odzaci
23 Aug
Kabel Novi Sad
2 : 0
Mladost Backi Jarak
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Veternik 5 4 0 1 15:6 12
2 Sloboda DT 5 4 0 1 18:10 12
3 Index 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
4 Zeleznicar Indjija 5 3 2 0 12:7 11
5 Kabel Novi Sad 5 2 3 0 10:5 9
6 Mladost Apatin 5 3 0 2 6:7 9
7 Jedinstvo Stara Pazova 5 2 2 1 4:2 8
8 Tekstilac Odzaci 5 2 1 2 3:3 7
9 Backa 5 2 1 2 6:7 7
10 OFK Vrbas 5 2 1 2 5:8 7
11 Sloven Ruma 5 2 0 3 10:7 6
12 Hajduk Divos 5 1 2 2 7:7 5
13 Mladost Backi Jarak 5 1 0 4 1:5 3
14 Sloga Conoplja 5 1 0 4 6:13 3
15 Dinamo Pancevo 5 0 1 4 2:13 1
16 Gradnulica Zrenjanin 5 0 1 4 7:19 1
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2027/2028 (Main)