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Ogre United vs FK Auda Riga Prediction & H2H Stats

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Virsliga Ogres pilsētas ģimnāzija, Ogre
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ogre United host FK Auda Riga in the Virsliga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Ogre United at 1.13 goals for, 2.57 against; FK Auda Riga at 1.69 for, 1.06 against. Head-to-head, Ogre United have won 0 to FK Auda Riga's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 16, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.00 - 2.00) back FK Auda Riga to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Ogre United
30%
Draws
51%
FK Auda Riga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FK Auda Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Auda Riga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on FK Auda Riga taking it.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FK Auda Riga here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ogre United Clean Sheet 10%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ogre United FK Auda Riga
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 20
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 1.13 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Ogre United
1:0
May 30, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Ogre United
2:0
Apr 17, 2026 Virsliga
Ogre United vs FK Auda Riga
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ogre United 14 / 100
FK Auda Riga 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ogre United FK Auda Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Auda Riga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ogre United scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

FK Auda Riga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Ogre United stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ogre United VS FK Auda Riga
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ogre United

(Home)
20 Sept
Ogre United
1 : 0
Super Nova
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Ogre United
2 : 2
FK Liepaja
05 Sept
Tukums 2000
2 : 1
Ogre United
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
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FK Auda Riga

(Away)
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 30 23 5 2 71:22 74
2 Riga FC 31 22 7 2 86:30 73
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 31 10 9 12 35:35 39
6 Super Nova 30 10 5 15 29:40 35
7 Jelgava 31 8 8 15 32:49 32
8 Grobina 31 5 11 15 21:52 26
9 Tukums 2000 31 5 9 17 44:61 24
10 Ogre United 31 4 6 21 30:76 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)