Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup 2023

Ogre United

Sat, May 27, 2023

2 - 1

02:00 PM

LSPA

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Ogre United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Ogre United

15%

Draws

51%

LSPA

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: LSPA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence

Ogre United carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Ogre United a 34% chance of winning this.
Ogre United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Ogre United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 80%

Over 3.5 Goals 75%

Over 4.5 Goals 34%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Ogre United Clean Sheet 12%

LSPA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ogre United	LSPA
Matches Played	31	9
Wins	6	4
Draws	5	0
Losses	20	5
Goals Scored	1.16	1.67
Goals Conceded	2.52	3.22
Expected Goals (xG)	3.06	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2023 Latvian Cup

Ogre United vs LSPA

2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ogre United 38 / 100

LSPA 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ogre United LSPA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ogre United Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ogre United scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

LSPA let in goals in 67% of their last 9 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

LSPA lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ogre United VS LSPA

1.13 Goals Scored 1

2.5 Goals Conceded 5

100% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 100%

50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Ogre United

(Home)

20 Sept

Ogre United

1 : 0

Super Nova

16 Sept

FK Auda Riga

1 : 0

Ogre United

11 Sept

Ogre United

2 : 2

FK Liepaja

05 Sept

Tukums 2000

2 : 1

Ogre United

30 Aug

Ogre United

0 : 3

RFS

Page 1 of 7

LSPA

(Away)

30 May

LSPA

1 : 5

FK Smiltene

18 May

RSU

5 : 1

LSPA

22 Jun

LSPA

0 : 5

Riga Mariners

29 May

LSPA

2 : 0

Riga United

18 May

Sigulda

0 : 5

LSPA

Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Kekava-Auda -

TBD -

FK Alberts -

Iecava -

TBD -

Rigas Futbola Skola -

Augsdaugavas -

TBD -

Betsafe -

TBD -

Saldus SS/Leevon -

TBD -

Riga FC -

FK Metta -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Aliance -

TBD -

Kadaga/Ostas 2

Namejs 1

TBD -

Dinamo Riga -

Valka -

TBD -

Marupe -

TBD -

Skanste -

DSVK Traktors -

TBD -

Upesciema Warriors -

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

Beitar -

TBD -

Madona/BJSS -

TBD -

Lielupe 3

FK Varaklani 0

Valmiera -

TBD -

Super Nova -

TBD -

Sigulda 2

Sports United/Cesis 3

TBD -

Bebri -

TBD -

Grobina -

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

JFK Ventspils -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Salaspils FK -

TBD -

Jekabpils SC -

Plavinas -

TBD -

FK Limbazi -

Ogre United -

TBD -

LSPA -

Riga United -

TBD -

RSU -

FK Union -

TBD -

Dobele Allegro 1

FK Ludza 0

TBD -

Alberts JDFS -

Rezekne -

TBD -

RTU 0

JFC Viola 3

TBD -

JFK Daugava -

1/64-finals

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Kekava-Auda 5

FK Alberts 1

Iecava 0

Rigas Futbola Skola 2

Augsdaugavas 1

Betsafe 2

TBD -

Saldus SS/Leevon -

TBD -

Riga FC -

FK Metta -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Aliance 4

Kadaga/Ostas 0

TBD -

Dinamo Riga -

Valka 0

Marupe 7

TBD -

Skanste -

DSVK Traktors 0

Upesciema Warriors 1

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

Beitar -

TBD -

Madona/BJSS 0

Lielupe 1

Valmiera -

TBD -

Super Nova -

TBD -

Sports United/Cesis 4

Bebri 1

TBD -

Grobina -

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

JFK Ventspils -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Salaspils FK 1

Jekabpils SC 3

Plavinas 0

FK Limbazi 3

Ogre United 2

LSPA 1

Riga United 3

RSU 2

FK Union 4

Dobele Allegro 1

TBD -

Alberts JDFS -

Rezekne -

TBD -

JFC Viola 3

JFK Daugava 4

1/32-finals

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Kekava-Auda 2

Rigas Futbola Skola 4

Betsafe 1

Saldus SS/Leevon 0

TBD -

Riga FC -

FK Metta -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Aliance 0

Dinamo Riga 2

Marupe 2

Skanste 0

Upesciema Warriors 0

FK Smiltene 2

Beitar 5

Lielupe 3

Valmiera -

TBD -

Super Nova -

TBD -

Sports United/Cesis 0

Grobina 7

AFA Olaine 4

JFK Ventspils 0

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Jekabpils SC -

FK Limbazi -

Ogre United 4

Riga United 0

FK Union 0

Alberts JDFS 10

Rezekne 4

JFK Daugava 1

1/16-finals

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Rigas Futbola Skola 1

Betsafe 2

TBD -

Riga FC -

FK Metta -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Dinamo Riga 0

Marupe 11

FK Smiltene 1

Beitar 3

Valmiera -

TBD -

Super Nova -

TBD -

Grobina 2

AFA Olaine 3

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Jekabpils SC 3

Ogre United 1

Alberts JDFS 8

Rezekne 0

1/8-finals

BFC Daugavpils 1

FK Auda Riga 4

Betsafe 0

Riga FC 5

FK Metta 2

FK Liepaja 3

Marupe 0

Beitar 1

Valmiera 2

Super Nova 0

AFA Olaine 1

Tukums 2000 3

Jelgava 0

RFS 3

Jekabpils SC 0

Alberts JDFS 6

Quarter-finals

FK Auda Riga 0

Riga FC 4

FK Liepaja 7

Beitar 0

Valmiera 0

Tukums 2000 1

RFS 4

Alberts JDFS 1

Semi-finals

Riga FC 2

FK Liepaja 1

Tukums 2000 1

RFS 3

Final

Riga FC 2

RFS 1

Ogre United vs LSPA

Latvia

Ogre United

LSPA

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Ogre United

LSPA

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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