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Ogre United vs RFS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Virsliga Ogres pilsētas ģimnāzija, Ogre
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Match Events

9'
Cudars K.
23'
Zelenkovs D.
34'
Vejkrigers D.

AI Match Summary

The Virsliga game between Ogre United and RFS finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RFS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Ogre United
15%
Draws
67%
RFS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Ogre United haven't matched RFS's recent run of results.
  • Model gives RFS a 67% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors RFS here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ogre United Clean Sheet 10%
RFS Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ogre United RFS
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 5 23
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 4
Goals Scored 1.17 2.41
Goals Conceded 2.62 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Virsliga
Ogre United vs RFS
0:3
Jun 22, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs Ogre United
6:0
May 2, 2026 Virsliga
Ogre United vs RFS
3:4
Mar 6, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs Ogre United
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ogre United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

RFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndjiki R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ogre United 10 / 100
RFS 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ogre United RFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Ogre United's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

RFS has conceded goals in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Ogre United remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ogre United VS RFS
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ogre United

(Home)
01 Nov
Ogre United
0 : 0
Riga FC
25 Oct
Ogre United
1 : 4
FK Auda Riga
17 Oct
Grobina
3 : 2
Ogre United
11 Oct
Ogre United
1 : 2
BFC Daugavpils
20 Sept
Ogre United
1 : 0
Super Nova
Page 1 of 6

RFS

(Away)
01 Nov
RFS
3 : 0
Grobina
25 Oct
Super Nova
0 : 3
RFS
19 Oct
RFS
2 : 0
Tukums 2000
15 Oct
RFS
4 : 0
Super Nova
11 Oct
RFS
4 : 2
Jelgava
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 35 28 5 2 87:24 89
2 Riga FC 35 25 8 2 95:33 83
3 FK Auda Riga 35 21 7 7 61:38 70
4 BFC Daugavpils 35 14 9 12 42:37 51
5 FK Liepaja 35 13 9 13 49:49 48
6 Super Nova 35 11 6 18 35:53 39
7 Jelgava 35 8 8 19 37:61 32
8 Grobina 35 6 11 18 27:64 29
9 Tukums 2000 35 5 10 20 44:67 25
10 Ogre United 35 4 7 24 34:85 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)