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Ogre United vs Skanste

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga 2025
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Match Events

21' Event
Mamich D.
49'
Kalnins M.
56'
Lawal W.

AI Match Summary

Ogre United host Skanste in the Nakotnes liga 2025. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Ogre United at 0.88 goals for, 2.88 against; Skanste at 0.86 for, 2.29 against. Head-to-head, Ogre United have won 1 to Skanste's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 1, 2025, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.58 xG vs 1.87) point toward Skanste. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ogre United
39%
Draws
31%
Skanste
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Skanste has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ogre United.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Nakotnes liga 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Ogre United Clean Sheet 10%
Skanste Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ogre United Skanste
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.88 0.86
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Ogre United vs Skanste
3:0
Jul 5, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Skanste vs Ogre United
2:1
Aug 10, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Skanste vs Ogre United
1:0
Apr 14, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Ogre United vs Skanste
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ogre United Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamich D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Licis K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Skanste Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ogre United 29 / 100
Skanste 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ogre United Skanste

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OGR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ogre United scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Skanste let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Ogre United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Skanste lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ogre United VS Skanste
0.88 Goals Scored 0.86
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.29
100% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 57%
63% Over 3.5 43%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ogre United26184466:2058
2Alberts JDFS26177260:2458
3Riga Mariners26184474:3458
4JFK Ventspils261110540:2943
5RFS 226118746:3141
6Skanste26117836:3940
7Leevon PPK261061040:4036
8Marupe261021430:3332
9Rezekne26871136:5731
10FK Smiltene26841446:4828
11Riga FC 226661435:4324
12Tukums 2000 226721737:6023
13AFA Olaine26641639:8822
14Augsdaugavas26351819:5814