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Ogre vs Salaspils FK

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1. Liga 2015
Ogre Logo

Ogre

5 - 1
FT
Salaspils FK Logo

Salaspils FK

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2015 game between Ogre and Salaspils FK finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ogre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Ogre
15%
Draws
60%
Salaspils FK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Salaspils FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Salaspils FK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ogre Clean Sheet 20%
Salaspils FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ogre Salaspils FK
Matches Played 4 30
Wins 1 10
Draws 0 3
Losses 3 17
Goals Scored 1.25 2.23
Goals Conceded 3.5 3.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2015 1. Liga
Ogre vs Salaspils FK
5:1
Jul 25, 2015 1. Liga
Salaspils FK vs Ogre
1:0
Oct 4, 2014 1. Liga
Salaspils FK vs Ogre
0:1
Jun 8, 2014 1. Liga
Ogre vs Salaspils FK
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ogre 32 / 100
Salaspils FK 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ogre Salaspils FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ogre's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 4 recent games.

Salaspils FK let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Ogre has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Salaspils FK
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ogre

(Home)
25 Jun
RTU
6 : 1
Ogre
05 Nov
Rezekne
3 : 1
Ogre
29 Oct
Ogre
3 : 0
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS
22 Oct
Valmiera
5 : 0
Ogre

Salaspils FK

(Away)
20 Jun
Salaspils FK
1 : 3
Speks
30 May
Saldus NSS
0 : 4
Salaspils FK
21 Jun
Salaspils FK
4 : 5
Leevon PPK
01 Jun
RSU
0 : 6
Salaspils FK
18 May
Kuldigas/Goldingen
2 : 3
Salaspils FK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Riga FC 30 27 3 0 142:14 84
2 Valmiera 30 24 3 3 89:33 75
3 RFS 30 24 2 4 94:25 74
4 FK 1625 Liepaja 30 18 7 5 92:39 61
5 FK Auda Riga 30 13 9 8 62:43 48
6 Rezekne 30 14 3 13 56:66 45
7 Tukums 2000 30 13 3 14 65:70 42
8 AFA Olaine 30 9 9 12 41:49 36
9 Alberts JDFS 30 11 2 17 35:56 35
10 Ogre 30 9 6 15 52:70 33
11 Jekabpils SC 30 9 3 18 46:99 30
12 Salaspils FK 30 8 6 16 31:57 30
13 Bebri 30 8 3 19 42:84 27
14 Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS 30 7 3 20 22:59 24
15 FK Smiltene 30 6 4 20 52:97 22
16 Preilu BJSS 30 4 6 20 40:100 18
Promotion - SynotTip Virslīga 2016 (Main)
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