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Oguzsport vs FCM Ungheni

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 2025/2026 game between Oguzsport and FCM Ungheni finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Oguzsport
6%
Draws
90%
FCM Ungheni
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FCM Ungheni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FCM Ungheni carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on FCM Ungheni taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FCM Ungheni have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Oguzsport Clean Sheet 10%
FCM Ungheni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oguzsport FCM Ungheni
Matches Played 26 37
Wins 5 22
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1 3.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga 1
Oguzsport vs FCM Ungheni
2:4
Oct 24, 2025 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Oguzsport
3:0
Sep 12, 2025 Liga 1
Oguzsport vs FCM Ungheni
2:2
Aug 2, 2025 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Oguzsport
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oguzsport 10 / 100
FCM Ungheni 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oguzsport FCM Ungheni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oguzsport's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

FCM Ungheni let in goals in 78% of their last 37 matches.

Oguzsport went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oguzsport VS FCM Ungheni
1 Goals Scored 3.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Oguzsport

(Home)
16 May
Real Sireti
5 : 2
Oguzsport
06 May
Univer Comrat
2 : 3
Oguzsport
24 Apr
Oguzsport
1 : 1
Falesti
17 Apr
Zimbru Chisinau 2
0 : 1
Oguzsport
10 Apr
Oguzsport
0 : 2
Univer Comrat
Page 1 of 6

FCM Ungheni

(Away)
27 Jun
FC Bacau
1 : 0
FCM Ungheni
16 May
Floresti
5 : 4
FCM Ungheni
06 May
FCM Ungheni
4 : 2
Victoria
24 Apr
FCM Ungheni
5 : 1
Zimbru Chisinau 2
17 Apr
Univer Comrat
4 : 3
FCM Ungheni
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stauceni15122145:1238
2Real Sireti15112252:2035
3Univer Comrat1590633:2527
4Sheriff Tiraspol 21543818:2715
5Olimp Comrat15311114:4410
6Falesti15121215:495
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floresti1594243:1331
2Zimbru Chisinau 21583430:2527
3Iskra Ribnita1583429:2927
4FCM Ungheni1573530:2224
5Oguzsport1524917:2810
6Victoria15211217:497
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)