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Stadium Background

Ohrid vs Prespa

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Ohrid Logo

Ohrid

6 - 1
FT
Prespa Logo

Prespa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 2. MFL 2025/2026 game between Ohrid and Prespa finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ohrid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Ohrid
15%
Draws
17%
Prespa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ohrid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ohrid come out ahead of Prespa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ohrid a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ohrid Clean Sheet 20%
Prespa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ohrid Prespa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 4 0
Losses 6 25
Goals Scored 2.45 1
Goals Conceded 0.76 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.67 0.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 2. MFL
Ohrid vs Prespa
6:1
Nov 1, 2025 2. MFL
Prespa vs Ohrid
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ohrid 85 / 100
Prespa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ohrid Prespa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ohrid Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prespa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Ohrid's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ohrid went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ohrid VS Prespa
2.63 Goals Scored 0.71
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.71
75% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Ohrid

(Home)
09 Sept
Novaci
1 : 0
Ohrid
05 Sept
Teteks
0 : 3
Ohrid
30 Aug
Ohrid
5 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
15 Aug
Ohrid
2 : 1
Novaci
18 Jul
Ohrid
1 : 0
Novaci
Page 1 of 6

Prespa

(Away)
23 May
Prespa
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
16 May
Sloga Vinica
3 : 2
Prespa
10 May
Prespa
0 : 3
Detonit Plackovica
03 May
Golemo Konjari
0 : 1
Prespa
25 Apr
Prespa
0 : 2
FK Skopje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bregalnica Stip 30 22 5 3 72:17 71
2 FK Skopje 30 23 2 5 72:20 71
3 Shkendija Haracine 30 21 6 3 67:19 69
4 Ohrid 30 21 5 4 78:17 68
5 Belasica Strumica 30 18 4 8 57:21 58
6 Osogovo 30 16 6 8 53:27 54
7 Novaci 30 15 6 9 47:31 51
8 Detonit Plackovica 30 14 7 9 52:28 49
9 Kozuf Gevgelija 30 12 9 9 50:26 45
10 Teteks 30 13 3 14 56:44 42
11 Kamenica Sasa 30 9 9 12 47:53 36
12 Vardar Negotino 30 6 4 20 37:95 22
13 Sloga Vinica 30 4 3 23 31:84 15
14 Prespa 30 5 0 25 30:76 15
15 Pobeda 30 3 2 25 19:117 11
16 Golemo Konjari 30 2 1 27 17:110 7
Promotion - 1. MFL (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)