Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ohrid vs Shkupi

North Macedonia North Macedonia

Macedonian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Gligorov I.
28' Event
Kalanoski A.
82' Event
Gligorov I.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ohrid
15%
Draws
0%
Shkupi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ohrid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ohrid come out ahead of Shkupi on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Ohrid taking it.
  • Ohrid have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ohrid, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Shkupi have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Ohrid Clean Sheet 20%
Shkupi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ohrid Shkupi
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 19 0
Draws 4 2
Losses 5 27
Goals Scored 2.57 0.48
Goals Conceded 0.82 4.07
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2025 Macedonian Cup
Ohrid vs Shkupi
3:0
Oct 25, 2023 Macedonian Cup
Shkupi vs Ohrid
4:0
Jul 18, 2020 Club Friendly
Shkupi vs Ohrid
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ohrid Compare

Top Goalscorer Gligorov I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kalanoski A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.88
Avg xA / game 1.88

Shkupi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ohrid 85 / 100
Shkupi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ohrid Shkupi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OHR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ohrid scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Shkupi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Shkupi lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ohrid VS Shkupi
1.88 Goals Scored 0.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 5.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Ohrid

(Home)
18 Jul
Ohrid
1 : 0
Novaci
23 May
Ohrid
7 : 1
Sloga Vinica
16 May
Detonit Plackovica
0 : 2
Ohrid
10 May
Ohrid
3 : 0
Golemo Konjari
06 May
Sileks
1 : 0
Ohrid
Page 1 of 6

Shkupi

(Away)
24 May
Brera Strumica
6 : 0
Shkupi
16 May
Shkupi
0 : 7
Rabotnicki
09 May
Pelister
7 : 0
Shkupi
01 May
Shkupi
0 : 4
Makedonija GP
24 Apr
Arsimi
5 : 1
Shkupi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Vardar -
TBD -
Pcinja 0
Novaci 3
Ohrid 2
Brera Strumica 1
Kozuf Gevgelija 0
Shkupi 2
Belasica Strumica 3
Arsimi 2
Bashkimi 2008 1
Detonit Plackovica 4
Pobeda 0
Bashkimi 4
Evrotip Online 1
Sileks 7
Ljuboten Tetovo 0
Makedonija GP 14
TBD -
Struga -
Jeni Maale 0
Shkendija Tetovo 9
FK Skopje 0
Tikves 1
Shkendija Haracine 2
Kamenica Sasa 1
Teteks 1
Pelister 2
Karbinci 0
Rabotnicki 16
Pobeda Valandovo 0
Bregalnica Stip 6
1/8-finals
Vardar 3
Novaci 1
Ohrid 3
Shkupi 0
Belasica Strumica 0
Detonit Plackovica 1
Bashkimi 1
Sileks 2
Makedonija GP 0
Struga 5
Shkendija Tetovo 2
Tikves 0
Shkendija Haracine 1
Pelister 0
Rabotnicki 2
Bregalnica Stip 1
Quarter-finals
Vardar 1
Ohrid 2
Detonit Plackovica 0
Sileks 3
Struga 2
Shkendija Tetovo 3
Shkendija Haracine 3
Rabotnicki 1
Semi-finals
Ohrid 1
Sileks 2
Shkendija Tetovo 5
Shkendija Haracine 2
Final
Sileks 1
Shkendija Tetovo 0