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Oiartzun vs Beasain

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Beasain in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beasain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Oiartzun
35%
Draws
32%
Beasain
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Beasain have won more games recently than Oiartzun.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Oiartzun taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Beasain have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Oiartzun Clean Sheet 19%
Beasain Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oiartzun Beasain
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.7 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Beasain vs Oiartzun
1:2
Nov 8, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Oiartzun vs Beasain
0:1
Feb 22, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Oiartzun vs Beasain
0:1
Oct 12, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Beasain vs Oiartzun
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oiartzun 42 / 100
Beasain 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oiartzun Beasain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beasain let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Oiartzun remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Oiartzun found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Beasain
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Oiartzun

(Home)
16 May
Oiartzun
3 : 2
Santutxu FC
09 May
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
Oiartzun
01 May
Oiartzun
0 : 0
Portugalete
25 Apr
Alaves B
2 : 0
Oiartzun
18 Apr
Oiartzun
1 : 1
Balmaseda
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Beasain

(Away)
26 Sept
Beasain
1 : 2
SCD Durango
19 Sept
Touring KE
2 : 0
Beasain
13 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
0 : 0
Beasain
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0
Santurtzi
29 Aug
Lagun Onak
2 : 2
Beasain
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leioa 38 24 9 5 62:34 81
2 Portugalete 38 20 10 8 67:38 70
3 Arenas Getxo 38 20 9 9 67:39 69
4 Basconia 38 19 10 9 77:49 67
5 Alaves B 38 17 11 10 54:33 62
6 Zalla UC 38 16 12 10 55:45 60
7 Gernika Club 38 15 14 9 43:29 59
8 Zamudio 38 15 11 12 64:48 56
9 Balmaseda 38 14 13 11 45:40 55
10 Beasain 38 14 10 14 45:59 52
11 Santutxu FC 38 9 21 8 37:40 48
12 SCD Durango 38 13 9 16 52:57 48
13 Pasaia 38 12 10 16 39:48 46
14 Lagun Onak 38 12 9 17 34:46 45
15 Oiartzun 38 11 11 16 40:61 44
16 Amurrio Club 38 11 9 18 31:45 42
17 Bermeo 38 9 12 17 37:46 39
18 Elgoibar 38 7 14 17 26:48 35
19 Sodupe 38 5 10 23 36:65 25
20 Retuerto Sport 38 5 10 23 21:62 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)