Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014

Portugalete

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Oiartzun play Portugalete in the Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Oiartzun averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. Portugalete averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.78 conceded. In past meetings, Oiartzun won 0, Portugalete won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 1, 2015 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Oiartzun and 1.30 for Portugalete. This points to a Portugalete double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Oiartzun

33%

Draws

49%

Portugalete

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Portugalete

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence

Oiartzun picked up more points recently compared to Portugalete.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.30 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Oiartzun Clean Sheet 19%

Portugalete Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Oiartzun	Portugalete
Matches Played	33	41
Wins	6	28
Draws	11	8
Losses	16	5
Goals Scored	0.73	1.8
Goals Conceded	1.36	0.78

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Oiartzun vs Portugalete

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Dec 14, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Portugalete vs Oiartzun

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 0 - 1

3:1

Jan 25, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Oiartzun vs Portugalete

Possession: 43% - 43% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Sep 14, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Portugalete vs Oiartzun

Possession: 50% - 48% Cards: 1 - 4

5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oiartzun 20 / 100

Portugalete 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Oiartzun Portugalete

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Portugalete or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +80%

10.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Oiartzun attacking → ← attacking Portugalete

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oiartzun scored in 52% of their last 33 games.

Portugalete let in goals in 51% of their last 41 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Oiartzun went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Portugalete lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 92

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Leioa	38	24	9	5	62:34	81
2	Portugalete	38	20	10	8	67:38	70
3	Arenas Getxo	38	20	9	9	67:39	69
4	Basconia	38	19	10	9	77:49	67
5	Alaves B	38	17	11	10	54:33	62
6	Zalla UC	38	16	12	10	55:45	60
7	Gernika Club	38	15	14	9	43:29	59
8	Zamudio	38	15	11	12	64:48	56
9	Balmaseda	38	14	13	11	45:40	55
10	Beasain	38	14	10	14	45:59	52
11	Santutxu FC	38	9	21	8	37:40	48
12	SCD Durango	38	13	9	16	52:57	48
13	Pasaia	38	12	10	16	39:48	46
14	Lagun Onak	38	12	9	17	34:46	45
15	Oiartzun	38	11	11	16	40:61	44
16	Amurrio Club	38	11	9	18	31:45	42
17	Bermeo	38	9	12	17	37:46	39
18	Elgoibar	38	7	14	17	26:48	35
19	Sodupe	38	5	10	23	36:65	25
20	Retuerto Sport	38	5	10	23	21:62	25