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Oita Trinita vs Albirex Niigata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Resonac Dome Oita, Oita
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oita Trinita host Albirex Niigata in the J2 League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Oita Trinita have averaged 0.93 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Albirex Niigata's 1.33 scored and 1.3 conceded. Head-to-head, Oita Trinita have won 3 to Albirex Niigata's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 3, 2022, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.19) back Albirex Niigata to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Oita Trinita
35%
Draws
38%
Albirex Niigata
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Albirex Niigata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Oita Trinita haven't matched Albirex Niigata's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Oita Trinita a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Oita Trinita Clean Sheet 20%
Albirex Niigata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oita Trinita Albirex Niigata
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 18
Draws 5 1
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2022 J2 League
Albirex Niigata vs Oita Trinita
0:1
Jun 11, 2022 J2 League
Oita Trinita vs Albirex Niigata
1:2
Aug 5, 2018 J2 League
Oita Trinita vs Albirex Niigata
4:0
May 6, 2018 J2 League
Albirex Niigata vs Oita Trinita
1:2
Nov 10, 2013 J1 League
Oita Trinita vs Albirex Niigata
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oita Trinita 42 / 100
Albirex Niigata 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oita Trinita Albirex Niigata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Oita Trinita remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Oita Trinita scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Albirex Niigata let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Oita Trinita VS Albirex Niigata
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Oita Trinita

(Home)
03 Oct
Oita Trinita
2 : 1
Montedio Yamagata
26 Sept
Oita Trinita
1 : 1
Fujieda MYFC
19 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 1
Oita Trinita
12 Sept
Omiya Ardija
0 : 0
Oita Trinita
06 Sept
Oita Trinita
1 : 1
Imabari
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Albirex Niigata

(Away)
03 Oct
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1
Tokushima
29 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0
Albirex Niigata
26 Sept
Blaublitz
2 : 2
Albirex Niigata
19 Sept
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1
Iwata
13 Sept
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0
Montedio Yamagata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omiya Ardija 10 5 5 0 20:9 20
2 Vegalta Sendai 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
3 Albirex Niigata 9 6 1 2 13:13 19
4 Toyama 9 5 2 2 18:9 17
5 Yokohama FC 10 5 2 3 19:13 17
6 Shonan Bellmare 9 4 4 1 10:8 16
7 Oita Trinita 10 3 5 2 11:8 14
8 Fujieda MYFC 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
9 Blaublitz 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Iwata 10 4 1 5 12:13 13
11 Tokushima 10 4 1 5 10:12 13
12 Montedio Yamagata 9 4 0 5 11:8 12
13 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 9 3 3 3 13:13 12
14 Sagan Tosu 10 3 2 5 9:12 11
15 Tochigi City 10 3 1 6 16:17 10
16 Imabari 10 3 1 6 11:19 10
17 Kofu 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
18 Vanraure 10 3 1 6 6:17 10
19 Iwaki 9 3 0 6 12:17 9
20 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 10 2 2 6 12:19 8
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