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Oita Trinita vs Imabari - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Resonac Dome Oita, Oita
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Match Events

13'
Kikuchi K.
19' Event
Furuyama K.
Assist: Maruyama Y.
38'
Sub
Sakakibara K. In: Kimoto T.
Out: Sakakibara K.

AI Match Summary

The J2 League game between Oita Trinita and Imabari finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Oita Trinita
30%
Draws
28%
Imabari
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oita Trinita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Imabari carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Oita Trinita's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Oita Trinita Clean Sheet 68%
Imabari Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oita Trinita Imabari
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 1
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 0.97 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 J2 League
Oita Trinita vs Imabari
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 J2 League
Oita Trinita vs Imabari
0:1
Jun 7, 2025 J2 League
Imabari vs Oita Trinita
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oita Trinita Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Pereira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Imabari Compare

Top Goalscorer Furuyama K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oita Trinita 86 / 100
Imabari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oita Trinita Imabari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oita Trinita Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Imabari's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Oita Trinita has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Oita Trinita's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Oita Trinita VS Imabari
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oita Trinita

(Home)
10 Oct
Yokohama FC
1 : 2
Oita Trinita
03 Oct
Oita Trinita
2 : 1
Montedio Yamagata
26 Sept
Oita Trinita
1 : 1
Fujieda MYFC
19 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 1
Oita Trinita
12 Sept
Omiya Ardija
0 : 0
Oita Trinita
Page 1 of 6

Imabari

(Away)
10 Oct
Tokushima
1 : 2
Imabari
03 Oct
Tochigi City
1 : 2
Imabari
26 Sept
Imabari
1 : 2
Shonan Bellmare
23 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 0
Imabari
19 Sept
Yokohama FC
2 : 1
Imabari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
2 Omiya Ardija 10 5 5 0 20:9 20
3 Albirex Niigata 10 6 2 2 14:14 20
4 Toyama 10 5 3 2 19:10 18
5 Yokohama FC 10 5 2 3 19:13 17
6 Shonan Bellmare 10 4 5 1 11:9 17
7 Oita Trinita 10 3 5 2 11:8 14
8 Fujieda MYFC 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
9 Blaublitz 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
10 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 10 3 4 3 14:14 13
11 Iwata 10 4 1 5 12:13 13
12 Tokushima 10 4 1 5 10:12 13
13 Montedio Yamagata 10 4 0 6 11:9 12
14 Iwaki 10 4 0 6 13:17 12
15 Sagan Tosu 10 3 2 5 9:12 11
16 Tochigi City 10 3 1 6 16:17 10
17 Imabari 10 3 1 6 11:19 10
18 Kofu 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
19 Vanraure 10 3 1 6 6:17 10
20 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 10 2 2 6 12:19 8
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