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Oita Trinita vs Vanraure - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Resonac Dome Oita, Oita
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Furukawa D. In: Arima K.
Out: Furukawa D.
58'
Sub
Unoki F. In: Oka K.
Out: Unoki F.
62'
Sub
Matheus Leiria In: Kimoto M.
Out: Matheus Leiria

AI Match Summary

Oita Trinita in this J2 League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oita Trinita.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Oita Trinita
30%
Draws
23%
Vanraure
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oita Trinita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Vanraure haven't matched Oita Trinita's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Oita Trinita a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Oita Trinita Clean Sheet 68%
Vanraure Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oita Trinita Vanraure
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.03 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2026 J2 League
Oita Trinita vs Vanraure
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oita Trinita Compare

Top Goalscorer Matsuo Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Vanraure Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oita Trinita 86 / 100
Vanraure 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oita Trinita Vanraure

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oita Trinita Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vanraure conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Oita Trinita has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Vanraure lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Oita Trinita scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Oita Trinita VS Vanraure
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oita Trinita

(Home)
03 Nov
Oita Trinita
1 : 0
Vanraure
31 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2 : 0
Oita Trinita
25 Oct
Oita Trinita
1 : 1
Kofu
21 Oct
Iwata
0 : 0
Oita Trinita
17 Oct
Oita Trinita
5 : 1
Albirex Niigata
Page 1 of 6

Vanraure

(Away)
03 Nov
Oita Trinita
1 : 0
Vanraure
31 Oct
Vanraure
1 : 2
Montedio Yamagata
25 Oct
Sagan Tosu
2 : 0
Vanraure
21 Oct
Tokushima
0 : 1
Vanraure
17 Oct
Imabari
3 : 3
Vanraure
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albirex Niigata 15 9 2 4 22:24 29
2 Toyama 15 8 4 3 27:14 28
3 Yokohama FC 15 8 4 3 28:17 28
4 Omiya Ardija 15 7 6 2 27:18 27
5 Vegalta Sendai 15 8 3 4 23:14 27
6 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 15 7 5 3 24:16 26
7 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 15 7 2 6 21:19 23
8 Oita Trinita 15 5 7 3 18:12 22
9 Iwata 15 6 4 5 18:16 22
10 Shonan Bellmare 15 5 7 3 15:14 22
11 Iwaki 15 6 2 7 24:22 20
12 Sagan Tosu 15 6 2 7 15:17 20
13 Montedio Yamagata 15 6 1 8 14:14 19
14 Blaublitz 15 4 5 6 16:17 17
15 Tokushima 15 5 2 8 11:15 17
16 Fujieda MYFC 15 3 7 5 17:17 16
17 Vanraure 15 4 2 9 11:25 14
18 Tochigi City 15 3 3 9 21:28 12
19 Imabari 15 3 3 9 16:31 12
20 Kofu 15 3 3 9 11:29 12
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
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Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)