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Okayama vs Belugarosso Iwami - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

Emperors Cup City Light Stadium, Okayama
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Tagami D.
22'
Sub
Wakimoto K. In: Imamura N.
Out: Wakimoto K.
26'
Imamura N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Okayama
15%
Draws
53%
Belugarosso Iwami
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belugarosso Iwami

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Okayama carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Belugarosso Iwami are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Okayama have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Okayama, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Okayama Clean Sheet 20%
Belugarosso Iwami Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Okayama Belugarosso Iwami
Matches Played 30 3
Wins 14 1
Draws 2 0
Losses 14 2
Goals Scored 1.4 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Emperors Cup
Okayama vs Belugarosso Iwami
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Okayama Compare

Top Goalscorer Kawano K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tagami D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Belugarosso Iwami Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Okayama 28 / 100
Belugarosso Iwami 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Okayama Belugarosso Iwami

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belugarosso Iwami Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Okayama scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Belugarosso Iwami conceded in 67% of 3 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Okayama stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Okayama VS Belugarosso Iwami
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Okayama

(Home)
31 Oct
Okayama
0 : 4
FC Tokyo
25 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 1
Okayama
21 Oct
Okayama
2 : 0
Mito
18 Oct
Okayama
0 : 3
Vissel Kobe
14 Oct
Nagoya Grampus
4 : 3
Okayama
Page 1 of 6

Belugarosso Iwami

(Away)
26 Aug
Okayama
3 : 0
Belugarosso Iwami
19 Aug
Belugarosso Iwami
2 : 0
Nagasaki Intl University
25 May
Belugarosso Iwami
0 : 1
Giravanz Kitakyushu

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Vissel Kobe -
TBD -
Veroskronos Tsuno 3
Kamatamare Sanuki 1
Sagan Tosu -
TBD -
TBD -
Toyama -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Nara Club 1
FC Osaka 4
V-Varen Nagasaki -
TBD -
Ehime 2
International Pacific Univesity 1
Kashima Antlers -
TBD -
Atletico Suzuka 2
Basara Hyogo 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
TBD -
TBD -
Kofu -
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Gifu 3
Toyama Shinjo 1
Albirex Niigata -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 2
Renofa Yamaguchi 1
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
Verspah Oita 3
Kochi United 0
Yokohama FC -
TBD -
Ryutsu Keizai University 1
Criacao Shinjuku 2
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Nagano Parceiro 2
Fukui Utd. 1
Shonan Bellmare -
TBD -
Reinmeer Aomori 15
Akita University 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 2
Urayasu SC 0
Iwata -
TBD -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Fukushima United 7
Oyama 0
Mito -
TBD -
Kanazawa 1
Kyoto Sangyo 4
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
Iwate Grulla Morioka 1
Sapporo University FC 0
Vegalta Sendai -
TBD -
TBD -
Tochigi City -
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Gainare Tottori 3
Kumamoto 2
Verdy -
TBD -
Tohoku Gakuin University 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 3
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
Senshu University 2
Tsukuba Univ. 1
Imabari -
TBD -
TBD -
Blaublitz -
Okayama -
TBD -
Belugarosso Iwami 2
Nagasaki Intl University 0
Chiba -
TBD -
Arterivo Wakayama 0
Azul Claro Numazu 6
Kyoto -
TBD -
SRC Hiroshima 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 6
Montedio Yamagata -
TBD -
TBD -
Fujieda MYFC -
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Okinawa 2
Iwaki -
TBD -
TBD -
Oita Trinita -
Gamba Osaka -
TBD -
Reilac Shiga 2
Japan Soccer 1
Tokushima -
TBD -
FC Tokushima 1
Kawasoe Club 0
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Yamanashi Gakuin 1
Tokyo International University 0
Omiya Ardija -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanraure -
1/32-finals
Vissel Kobe 2
Veroskronos Tsuno 1
Sagan Tosu 4
Toyama 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
FC Osaka 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 3
Ehime 2
Kashima Antlers 3
Atletico Suzuka 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Kofu 3
Cerezo Osaka 3
Gifu 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Kagoshima United 4
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Verspah Oita 0
Yokohama FC 3
Criacao Shinjuku 1
FC Tokyo 6
Nagano Parceiro 0
Shonan Bellmare 1
Reinmeer Aomori 0
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Tochigi SC 1
Iwata 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 1
Fukushima United 0
Mito 0
Kyoto Sangyo 2
Machida Zelvia 3
Iwate Grulla Morioka 0
Vegalta Sendai 1
Tochigi City 2
Nagoya Grampus 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Verdy 4
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Kashiwa Reysol 2
Senshu University 1
Imabari 4
Blaublitz 1
Okayama 3
Belugarosso Iwami 0
Chiba 2
Azul Claro Numazu 1
Kyoto 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 0
Montedio Yamagata 3
Fujieda MYFC 5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Okinawa 1
Iwaki 2
Oita Trinita 0
Gamba Osaka 2
Reilac Shiga 0
Tokushima 3
FC Tokushima 0
Urawa Reds 3
Yamanashi Gakuin 0
Omiya Ardija 2
Vanraure 0
1/16-finals
Vissel Kobe 1
Sagan Tosu 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Kashima Antlers 3
Kofu 1
Cerezo Osaka 2
Kagoshima United 0
Avispa Fukuoka 0
Yokohama FC 1
FC Tokyo 4
Shonan Bellmare 0
Kawasaki Frontale 2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Kyoto Sangyo 1
Machida Zelvia 2
Tochigi City 1
Gainare Tottori 0
Verdy 1
Kashiwa Reysol 4
Imabari 0
Okayama 1
Chiba 0
Kyoto 1
Fujieda MYFC 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Iwaki 0
Gamba Osaka 5
Tokushima 0
Urawa Reds 3
Omiya Ardija 2
1/8-finals
Vissel Kobe -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
Kashima Antlers -
Cerezo Osaka -
Yokohama FC -
FC Tokyo -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Machida Zelvia -
Verdy -
Kashiwa Reysol -
Okayama -
Kyoto -
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Gamba Osaka -
Urawa Reds -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -