Sport Picks

Okayama vs Chiba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan

Emperors Cup City Light Stadium, Okayama

Okayama

1 - 0

Chiba

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Sub

Matheus Indio In: Yasui T.

Out: Matheus Indio

18'

Sub

Tagami D. In: Tatsuta Y.

Out: Tagami D.

19'

Penalty Missed

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%

Okayama

15%

Draws

31%

Chiba

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Okayama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence

Okayama carry the better recent record into this one.
54% — that's where the model lands on Okayama taking it.
Okayama have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Chiba, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%

Okayama Clean Sheet 68%

Chiba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Okayama	Chiba
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	14	6
Draws	2	2
Losses	13	20
Goals Scored	1.45	1.14
Goals Conceded	1.48	1.96
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Emperors Cup

Okayama vs Chiba

1:0

Sep 2, 2026 J1 League

Chiba vs Okayama

1:2

Aug 10, 2024 J2 League

Okayama vs Chiba

0:0

Jun 1, 2024 J2 League

Chiba vs Okayama

2:1

Oct 1, 2023 J2 League

Okayama vs Chiba

0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Okayama Compare

Top Goalscorer Matsumoto M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Chiba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Okayama 50 / 100

Chiba 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Okayama Chiba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Okayama Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Okayama scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Chiba has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Okayama remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Okayama VS Chiba

1.75 Goals Scored 1.38

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Okayama

(Home)

29 Sept

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

1 : 2

Okayama

19 Sept

Okayama

1 : 2

Kyoto

13 Sept

Urawa Reds

1 : 2

Okayama

06 Sept

Okayama

3 : 2

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

02 Sept

Chiba

1 : 2

Okayama

Page 1 of 6

Chiba

(Away)

29 Sept

Iwata

4 : 2

Chiba

19 Sept

Shimizu S-Pulse

2 : 1

Chiba

13 Sept

Verdy

1 : 1

Chiba

09 Sept

Kamatamare Sanuki

0 : 2

Chiba

06 Sept

Chiba

2 : 0

Gamba Osaka

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Kashima Antlers -

TBD -

Atletico Suzuka 2

Basara Hyogo 1

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -

TBD -

Kofu -

Nagoya Grampus -

TBD -

Gainare Tottori 3

Kumamoto 2

Verdy -

TBD -

Tohoku Gakuin University 1

Thespakusatsu Gunma 3

Kawasaki Frontale -

TBD -

Tochigi SC 2

Urayasu SC 0

Iwata -

TBD -

Tegevajaro Miyazaki -

Gamba Osaka -

TBD -

Reilac Shiga 2

Japan Soccer 1

Tokushima -

TBD -

FC Tokushima 1

Kawasoe Club 0

Sanfrecce Hiroshima -

TBD -

Giravanz Kitakyushu 1

Okinawa 2

Iwaki -

TBD -

Oita Trinita -

Okayama -

TBD -

Belugarosso Iwami 2

Nagasaki Intl University 0

Chiba -

TBD -

Arterivo Wakayama 0

Azul Claro Numazu 6

Vissel Kobe -

TBD -

Veroskronos Tsuno 3

Kamatamare Sanuki 1

Sagan Tosu -

TBD -

Toyama -

Avispa Fukuoka -

TBD -

Verspah Oita 3

Kochi United 0

Yokohama FC -

TBD -

Ryutsu Keizai University 1

Criacao Shinjuku 2

Kashiwa Reysol -

TBD -

Senshu University 2

Tsukuba Univ. 1

Imabari -

TBD -

Blaublitz -

Yokohama F. Marinos -

TBD -

Fukushima United 7

Oyama 0

Mito -

TBD -

Kanazawa 1

Kyoto Sangyo 4

Urawa Reds -

TBD -

Yamanashi Gakuin 1

Tokyo International University 0

Omiya Ardija -

TBD -

Vanraure -

Cerezo Osaka -

TBD -

Gifu 3

Toyama Shinjo 1

Albirex Niigata -

TBD -

Kagoshima United 2

Renofa Yamaguchi 1

Kyoto -

TBD -

SRC Hiroshima 1

Maruyasu Okazaki 6

Montedio Yamagata -

TBD -

Fujieda MYFC -

Shimizu S-Pulse -

TBD -

Nara Club 1

FC Osaka 4

V-Varen Nagasaki -

TBD -

Ehime 2

International Pacific Univesity 1

Machida Zelvia -

TBD -

Iwate Grulla Morioka 1

Sapporo University FC 0

Vegalta Sendai -

TBD -

Tochigi City -

FC Tokyo -

TBD -

Nagano Parceiro 2

Fukui Utd. 1

Shonan Bellmare -

TBD -

Reinmeer Aomori 15

Akita University 0

1/32-finals

Kashima Antlers 3

Atletico Suzuka 0

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1

Kofu 3

Nagoya Grampus 1

Gainare Tottori 3

Verdy 4

Thespakusatsu Gunma 1

Kawasaki Frontale 3

Tochigi SC 1

Iwata 0

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1

Gamba Osaka 2

Reilac Shiga 0

Tokushima 3

FC Tokushima 0

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4

Okinawa 1

Iwaki 2

Oita Trinita 0

Okayama 3

Belugarosso Iwami 0

Chiba 2

Azul Claro Numazu 1

Vissel Kobe 2

Veroskronos Tsuno 1

Sagan Tosu 4

Toyama 0

Avispa Fukuoka 1

Verspah Oita 0

Yokohama FC 3

Criacao Shinjuku 1

Kashiwa Reysol 2

Senshu University 1

Imabari 4

Blaublitz 1

Yokohama F. Marinos 1

Fukushima United 0

Mito 0

Kyoto Sangyo 2

Urawa Reds 3

Yamanashi Gakuin 0

Omiya Ardija 2

Vanraure 0

Cerezo Osaka 3

Gifu 1

Albirex Niigata 0

Kagoshima United 4

Kyoto 1

Maruyasu Okazaki 0

Montedio Yamagata 3

Fujieda MYFC 5

Shimizu S-Pulse 2

FC Osaka 1

V-Varen Nagasaki 3

Ehime 2

Machida Zelvia 3

Iwate Grulla Morioka 0

Vegalta Sendai 1

Tochigi City 2

FC Tokyo 6

Nagano Parceiro 0

Shonan Bellmare 1

Reinmeer Aomori 0

1/16-finals

Kashima Antlers 3

Kofu 1

Gainare Tottori 0

Verdy 1

Kawasaki Frontale 2

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0

Gamba Osaka 5

Tokushima 0

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4

Iwaki 0

Okayama 1

Chiba 0

Vissel Kobe 1

Sagan Tosu 0

Avispa Fukuoka 0

Yokohama FC 1

Kashiwa Reysol 4

Imabari 0

Yokohama F. Marinos 2

Kyoto Sangyo 1

Urawa Reds 3

Omiya Ardija 2

Cerezo Osaka 2

Kagoshima United 0

Kyoto 1

Fujieda MYFC 0

Shimizu S-Pulse 2

V-Varen Nagasaki 1

Machida Zelvia 2

Tochigi City 1

FC Tokyo 4

Shonan Bellmare 0

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Okayama vs Chiba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan

Okayama

Chiba

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Okayama Compare

Chiba Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Okayama

Chiba

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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