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Okayama vs FC Tokyo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League City Light Stadium, Okayama
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Okayama host FC Tokyo in the J1 League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Okayama at 1.48 goals for, 1.31 against; FC Tokyo at 1.97 for, 0.9 against. Past meetings favor FC Tokyo slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 25, 2025, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 2.06, favoring FC Tokyo. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Okayama
15%
Draws
53%
FC Tokyo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Tokyo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Tokyo lately — more wins on the board than Okayama.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on FC Tokyo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FC Tokyo have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Okayama Clean Sheet 10%
FC Tokyo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Okayama FC Tokyo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 18
Draws 2 4
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.48 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Okayama
3:1
Apr 6, 2025 J1 League
Okayama vs FC Tokyo
1:0
Oct 16, 2011 J2 League
FC Tokyo vs Okayama
3:0
Jun 29, 2011 J2 League
Okayama vs FC Tokyo
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Okayama 10 / 100
FC Tokyo 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Okayama FC Tokyo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Tokyo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Okayama scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

FC Tokyo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Okayama has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Okayama VS FC Tokyo
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Okayama

(Home)
21 Oct
Okayama
2 : 0
Mito
18 Oct
Okayama
0 : 3
Vissel Kobe
14 Oct
Nagoya Grampus
4 : 3
Okayama
10 Oct
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 1
Okayama
07 Oct
Okayama
1 : 0
Chiba
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FC Tokyo

(Away)
21 Oct
FC Tokyo
0 : 0
Kashiwa Reysol
17 Oct
Verdy
0 : 4
FC Tokyo
14 Oct
Mito
1 : 0
FC Tokyo
10 Oct
FC Tokyo
3 : 0
Urawa Reds
07 Oct
FC Tokyo
4 : 0
Shonan Bellmare
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Machida Zelvia 11 8 2 1 30:10 26
2 FC Tokyo 11 7 3 1 21:8 24
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 11 7 2 2 25:10 23
4 Vissel Kobe 11 7 1 3 18:11 22
5 Kashiwa Reysol 11 7 1 3 22:17 22
6 Kashima Antlers 11 6 2 3 23:18 20
7 Kawasaki Frontale 11 5 4 2 23:17 19
8 Urawa Reds 11 6 0 5 20:23 18
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 11 4 5 2 15:11 17
10 Okayama 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
11 Shimizu S-Pulse 11 4 2 5 10:16 14
12 Nagoya Grampus 11 4 1 6 13:17 13
13 Cerezo Osaka 11 3 4 4 10:17 13
14 V-Varen Nagasaki 11 3 3 5 15:18 12
15 Gamba Osaka 11 2 4 5 12:19 10
16 Mito 11 2 3 6 12:16 9
17 Kyoto 11 2 3 6 13:21 9
18 Avispa Fukuoka 11 2 1 8 12:18 7
19 Chiba 11 1 3 7 10:22 6
20 Verdy 11 0 5 6 6:20 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)