Sport Picks
Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan
J1 League City Light Stadium, Okayama 
Match Events
10'
10'
Kawano K.
Assist: Meireles L. M.
16'
16'
Oberdan
21'
21'
Kawano K.
Assist: Oberdan
AI Match Summary
Okayama in this J1 League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Okayama.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won more games recently than Okayama.
- Okayama are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Okayama Clean Sheet 11%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Okayama | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 17 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 J1 League
Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3:2
May 2, 2026 J1 League
Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:0
Feb 14, 2026 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Okayama
2:1
Jul 5, 2025 J1 League
Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Okayama
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Okayama Compare
Top Goalscorer Kawano K.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Compare
Top Goalscorer Haller S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kawabe H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Okayama 35 / 100
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Okayama Sanfrecce Hiroshima
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Okayama found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
Sanfrecce Hiroshima let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Okayama remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Okayama VS Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Okayama
(Home) 19 Sept
Okayama
1 : 2 Kyoto
13 Sept
Urawa Reds
1 : 2 Okayama
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
02 Sept
Chiba
1 : 2 Okayama
29 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 1 Okayama
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Okayama
1 : 2 Kyoto
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
26 Aug
Okayama
3 : 0 Belugarosso Iwami
22 Aug
Okayama
0 : 0 Verdy
15 Aug
Okayama
1 : 0 V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
(Away) 19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1 Cerezo Osaka
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
02 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0 Nagoya Grampus
29 Aug
Gamba Osaka
0 : 0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
29 Aug
Gamba Osaka
0 : 0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
15 Aug
Urawa Reds
1 : 4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
14 Jul
Slaven Belupo
1 : 3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:12 | 18 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
