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Okayama vs Verdy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League City Light Stadium, Okayama
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Inoue R.
56'
Sub
Yamamoto J. In: Matsuhashi Y.
Out: Yamamoto J.
56'
Mizoguchi S.

AI Match Summary

The J1 League game between Okayama and Verdy finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Okayama
15%
Draws
59%
Verdy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Verdy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Okayama carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Okayama Clean Sheet 16%
Verdy Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Okayama Verdy
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 2 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 J1 League
Okayama vs Verdy
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 J1 League
Verdy vs Okayama
4:2
Apr 29, 2025 J1 League
Okayama vs Verdy
0:1
Aug 26, 2023 J2 League
Verdy vs Okayama
2:3
Jun 11, 2023 J2 League
Okayama vs Verdy
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Okayama 31 / 100
Verdy 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Okayama Verdy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Verdy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Okayama scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Verdy conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Okayama went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Okayama VS Verdy
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Okayama

(Home)
31 Oct
Okayama
0 : 4
FC Tokyo
25 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 1
Okayama
21 Oct
Okayama
2 : 0
Mito
18 Oct
Okayama
0 : 3
Vissel Kobe
14 Oct
Nagoya Grampus
4 : 3
Okayama
Page 1 of 6

Verdy

(Away)
01 Nov
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 2
Verdy
24 Oct
Verdy
3 : 1
Avispa Fukuoka
21 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 2
Verdy
17 Oct
Verdy
0 : 4
FC Tokyo
11 Oct
Verdy
0 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Tokyo 13 9 3 1 31:8 30
2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 13 9 2 2 32:10 29
3 Machida Zelvia 13 8 4 1 30:10 28
4 Kashiwa Reysol 13 9 1 3 29:19 28
5 Vissel Kobe 13 8 2 3 21:12 26
6 Kashima Antlers 13 7 2 4 29:22 23
7 Kawasaki Frontale 13 6 4 3 27:22 22
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 13 5 6 2 20:14 21
9 Urawa Reds 13 7 0 6 21:27 21
10 Okayama 13 5 1 7 15:21 16
11 Nagoya Grampus 13 4 2 7 15:21 14
12 Cerezo Osaka 13 3 5 5 13:23 14
13 Shimizu S-Pulse 13 4 2 7 10:22 14
14 Kyoto 13 3 4 6 17:23 13
15 V-Varen Nagasaki 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
16 Gamba Osaka 13 2 6 5 14:21 12
17 Verdy 13 2 5 6 11:22 11
18 Chiba 13 2 4 7 15:24 10
19 Mito 13 2 3 8 12:25 9
20 Avispa Fukuoka 13 2 1 10 13:24 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)