Sport Picks

Stadium Background

OKMK vs Din. Samarkand

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League OKMK Sport Majmuasi, Olmaliq
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Abdurakhmonov F.
54'
Ulmasaliev A.
55'
Sub
Mukimzhonov A. In: Ahrorov S.
Out: Mukimzhonov A.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between OKMK and Din. Samarkand finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Din. Samarkand.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
OKMK
35%
Draws
39%
Din. Samarkand
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Din. Samarkand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • OKMK's 1.52 goals per match outpaces what Din. Samarkand have produced (1.47).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
OKMK Clean Sheet 15%
Din. Samarkand Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OKMK Din. Samarkand
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Super League
OKMK vs Din. Samarkand
0:1
Apr 23, 2026 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs OKMK
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs OKMK
1:0
Apr 6, 2025 Super League
OKMK vs Din. Samarkand
0:0
Aug 16, 2024 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs OKMK
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OKMK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Din. Samarkand Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdurakhmonov F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OKMK 35 / 100
Din. Samarkand 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OKMK Din. Samarkand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Din. Samarkand Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Din. Samarkand has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

OKMK's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: OKMK stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

OKMK VS Din. Samarkand
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

OKMK

(Home)
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0
OKMK
19 Aug
OKMK
0 : 1
Din. Samarkand
13 Aug
Buxoro
2 : 0
OKMK
08 Aug
Bunyodkor
2 : 3
OKMK
03 Aug
OKMK
1 : 2
Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 6

Din. Samarkand

(Away)
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
19 Aug
OKMK
0 : 1
Din. Samarkand
14 Aug
Din. Samarkand
2 : 2
Xorazm Urganch
07 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
2 : 1
Din. Samarkand
03 Aug
Din. Samarkand
0 : 0
Neftchi Fargona
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 19 14 3 2 45:10 45
2 Pakhtakor 19 11 7 1 31:18 40
3 Navbahor Namangan 19 11 4 4 31:17 37
4 Buxoro 19 10 4 5 28:20 34
5 Lok. Tashkent 19 9 4 6 32:26 31
6 OKMK 19 8 5 6 27:25 29
7 Andijan 19 8 3 8 24:20 27
8 Din. Samarkand 19 7 5 7 29:30 26
9 Nasaf Qarshi 19 6 7 6 20:18 25
10 Sogdiana 19 7 3 9 32:39 24
11 Qizilqum 19 7 2 10 17:26 23
12 Termez Surkhon 19 5 5 9 16:26 20
13 Xorazm Urganch 19 5 5 9 17:28 20
14 Kokand 1912 19 4 7 8 17:26 19
15 Bunyodkor 19 6 1 12 20:31 19
16 Mashal Muborak 19 1 1 17 8:34 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)