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OKMK vs Din. Samarkand - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League OKMK Sport Majmuasi, Olmaliq
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Abdurakhmonov F.
54'
Ulmasaliev A.
55'
Sub
Mukimzhonov A. In: Akhrorov S.
Out: Mukimzhonov A.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between OKMK and Din. Samarkand finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Din. Samarkand.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
OKMK
20%
Draws
23%
Din. Samarkand
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: OKMK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and OKMK come out ahead of Din. Samarkand on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans OKMK's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
OKMK Clean Sheet 19%
Din. Samarkand Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OKMK Din. Samarkand
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Super League
OKMK vs Din. Samarkand
0:1
Apr 23, 2026 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs OKMK
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs OKMK
1:0
Apr 6, 2025 Super League
OKMK vs Din. Samarkand
0:0
Aug 16, 2024 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs OKMK
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OKMK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Din. Samarkand Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdurakhmonov F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OKMK 67 / 100
Din. Samarkand 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OKMK Din. Samarkand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OKMK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Din. Samarkand has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

OKMK's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: OKMK stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

OKMK VS Din. Samarkand
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

OKMK

(Home)
15 Oct
Mashal Muborak
0 : 1
OKMK
11 Oct
OKMK
2 : 2
Navbahor Namangan
20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2
OKMK
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1
Xorazm Urganch
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3
Pakhtakor
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Din. Samarkand

(Away)
17 Oct
Din. Samarkand
1 : 2
Buxoro
09 Oct
Nasaf Qarshi
2 : 1
Din. Samarkand
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2
Din. Samarkand
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0
Qizilqum
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Din. Samarkand
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 24 17 4 3 56:21 55
2 Pakhtakor 24 15 8 1 43:22 53
3 Navbahor Namangan 24 13 7 4 42:24 46
4 Buxoro 24 12 4 8 37:32 40
5 Lok. Tashkent 24 11 6 7 39:30 39
6 OKMK 24 11 6 7 34:31 39
7 Nasaf Qarshi 24 10 8 6 35:22 38
8 Qizilqum 24 10 3 11 24:30 33
9 Din. Samarkand 24 8 6 10 35:38 30
10 Andijan 24 9 3 12 29:32 30
11 Sogdiana 24 8 5 11 41:47 29
12 Termez Surkhon 24 7 7 10 19:28 28
13 Kokand 1912 24 5 8 11 24:34 23
14 Xorazm Urganch 24 5 8 11 20:34 23
15 Bunyodkor 24 7 2 15 24:40 23
16 Mashal Muborak 24 1 1 22 11:48 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)