Sport Picks

Stadium Background

OKMK vs Lok. Tashkent

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League OKMK Sport Majmuasi, Olmaliq
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Abdukholikov T.
15'
Karimov A.
46'
Sub
Karimov A. In: Toirov S.
Out: Karimov A.

AI Match Summary

OKMK in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored OKMK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
OKMK
20%
Draws
40%
Lok. Tashkent
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to OKMK lately — more wins on the board than Lok. Tashkent.
  • Win probability leans Lok. Tashkent's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors OKMK here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
OKMK Clean Sheet 11%
Lok. Tashkent Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OKMK Lok. Tashkent
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Super League
OKMK vs Lok. Tashkent
2:1
Sep 27, 2024 Super League
OKMK vs Lok. Tashkent
1:0
May 14, 2024 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs OKMK
0:2
Aug 2, 2023 Uzbekistan Cup
OKMK vs Lok. Tashkent
2:1
Aug 10, 2022 Super League
OKMK vs Lok. Tashkent
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OKMK Compare

Top Goalscorer Ulmasaliev A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdurazzakov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Lok. Tashkent Compare

Top Goalscorer Mirzaev S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OKMK 14 / 100
Lok. Tashkent 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OKMK Lok. Tashkent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lok. Tashkent Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OKMK found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Lok. Tashkent let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

OKMK went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

OKMK VS Lok. Tashkent
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

OKMK

(Home)
20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2
OKMK
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1
Xorazm Urganch
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3
Pakhtakor
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0
OKMK
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Lok. Tashkent

(Away)
20 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0
Mashal Muborak
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1
Bunyodkor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 22 16 3 3 50:17 51
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
11 Qizilqum 21 8 2 11 20:29 26
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 21 5 6 10 17:29 21
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)