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OKMK vs Mashal Muborak Prediction & H2H Stats

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League OKMK Sport Majmuasi, Olmaliq
OKMK Logo

OKMK

2 - 1
FT
Mashal Muborak Logo

Mashal Muborak

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Ismoilov E.
Assist: Akramov Z.
27'
Ulmasaliev A.
32' Event
Sobirzhonov A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between OKMK and Mashal Muborak finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward OKMK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
OKMK
15%
Draws
0%
Mashal Muborak
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: OKMK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • OKMK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives OKMK a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • OKMK have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
OKMK Clean Sheet 68%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OKMK Mashal Muborak
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 4
Draws 6 2
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 1.48 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Super League
OKMK vs Mashal Muborak
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
OKMK vs Mashal Muborak
2:0
Jul 5, 2025 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs OKMK
0:1
Oct 15, 2021 Super League
OKMK vs Mashal Muborak
3:2
May 19, 2021 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs OKMK
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OKMK Compare

Top Goalscorer Sobirzhonov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karimov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Mashal Muborak Compare

Top Goalscorer Ismoilov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OKMK 95 / 100
Mashal Muborak 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OKMK Mashal Muborak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OKMK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mashal Muborak has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Mashal Muborak registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: OKMK scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

OKMK VS Mashal Muborak
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

OKMK

(Home)
20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2
OKMK
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1
Xorazm Urganch
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3
Pakhtakor
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0
OKMK
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Mashal Muborak

(Away)
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2
Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0
Mashal Muborak
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2
Mashal Muborak
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2
Navbahor Namangan
19 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 1
Andijan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 22 16 3 3 50:17 51
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 22 5 6 11 18:32 21
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)