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Stadium Background

OKMK vs Mashal Muborak

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League OKMK Sport Majmuasi, Olmaliq
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Ismoilov E.
Assist: Akramov Z.
27'
Ulmasaliev A.
32' Event
Sobirzhonov A.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between OKMK and Mashal Muborak finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward OKMK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
OKMK
6%
Draws
4%
Mashal Muborak
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: OKMK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • OKMK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives OKMK a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • OKMK have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
OKMK Clean Sheet 68%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OKMK Mashal Muborak
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Super League
OKMK vs Mashal Muborak
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
OKMK vs Mashal Muborak
2:0
Jul 5, 2025 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs OKMK
0:1
Oct 15, 2021 Super League
OKMK vs Mashal Muborak
3:2
May 19, 2021 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs OKMK
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OKMK Compare

Top Goalscorer Sobirzhonov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karimov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Mashal Muborak Compare

Top Goalscorer Ismoilov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OKMK 95 / 100
Mashal Muborak 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OKMK Mashal Muborak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OKM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OKMK has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: OKMK scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Mashal Muborak has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

OKMK VS Mashal Muborak
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

OKMK

(Home)
27 Jul
OKMK
2 : 1
Mashal Muborak
22 Jul
Kokand 1912
1 : 4
OKMK
17 Jul
Navbahor Namangan
2 : 3
OKMK
03 May
OKMK
0 : 0
Neftchi Fargona
27 Apr
OKMK
2 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
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Mashal Muborak

(Away)
27 Jul
OKMK
2 : 1
Mashal Muborak
22 Jul
Mashal Muborak
1 : 1
Nasaf Qarshi
17 Jul
Mashal Muborak
1 : 0
Kokand 1912
02 May
Din. Samarkand
3 : 1
Mashal Muborak
27 Apr
Mashal Muborak
0 : 1
Buxoro
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona14112133:635
2Pakhtakor14103126:1433
3OKMK1474323:1825
4Buxoro1472517:1523
5Navbahor Namangan1464418:1322
6Lok. Tashkent1464421:1922
7Nasaf Qarshi1456317:1321
8Andijan1462622:1620
9Din. Samarkand1462624:2520
10Bunyodkor1461714:1619
11Xorazm Urganch1444611:1716
12Termez Surkhon1443714:2215
13Qizilqum1442810:1914
14Sogdiana1433823:3312
15Kokand 19121425713:2311
16Mashal Muborak1411127:244
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)