Sport Picks
OKMK vs Nasaf Qarshi
Uzbekistan
Super League OKMK Sport Majmuasi, Olmaliq 
Match Events
8'
8'
Abdikholikov B.
Assist: Nematov A.
45'
45'
Abdirakhmatov Z.
46'
46'
Sub
Karimov A. In: Toirov S.
Out: Karimov A.
AI Match Summary
Nasaf Qarshi in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nasaf Qarshi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to OKMK lately — more wins on the board than Nasaf Qarshi.
- Nasaf Qarshi are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Nasaf Qarshi have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
OKMK Clean Sheet 18%
Nasaf Qarshi Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | OKMK | Nasaf Qarshi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 3, 2026 Super League
OKMK vs Nasaf Qarshi
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 Super League
OKMK vs Nasaf Qarshi
1:1
May 23, 2025 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs OKMK
2:1
Sep 23, 2024 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs OKMK
2:0
May 7, 2024 Super League
OKMK vs Nasaf Qarshi
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
OKMK Compare
Top Goalscorer Ulmasaliev A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Nasaf Qarshi Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdikholikov B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mukhitdinov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
OKMK 15 / 100
Nasaf Qarshi 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
OKMK Nasaf Qarshi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nasaf Qarshi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
OKMK's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Nasaf Qarshi let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.
Solid form: OKMK remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
OKMK VS Nasaf Qarshi
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
OKMK
(Home) 20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2 OKMK
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3 Pakhtakor
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0 OKMK
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3 Pakhtakor
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
19 Aug
OKMK
0 : 1 Din. Samarkand
03 Aug
OKMK
1 : 2 Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 3
Nasaf Qarshi
(Away) 20 Sept
Andijan
1 : 4 Nasaf Qarshi
16 Sept
Al Khalidiyah
0 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0 Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
6 : 2 Neftchi Fargona
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Andijan
1 : 4 Nasaf Qarshi
16 Sept
Al Khalidiyah
0 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
26 Aug
Qizilqum
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
21 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 50:17 | 51 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 39:20 | 49 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 5 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 6 | Nasaf Qarshi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:21 | 34 |
| 7 | Buxoro | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:29 | 34 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33:34 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:28 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22:36 | 22 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18:32 | 21 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19:30 | 20 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11:44 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
