Sport Picks

Stadium Background

OKMK vs Pakhtakor

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League OKMK Sport Majmuasi, Olmaliq
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Hussein A.
Assist: Saitov D.
17'
Papava G.
24' Event
Ibrokhimov I.
Assist: Hussein A.

AI Match Summary

Pakhtakor in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pakhtakor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
OKMK
30%
Draws
47%
Pakhtakor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pakhtakor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pakhtakor lately — more wins on the board than OKMK.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Pakhtakor taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
OKMK Clean Sheet 19%
Pakhtakor Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OKMK Pakhtakor
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 13 16
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.45 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Super League
OKMK vs Pakhtakor
1:3
Apr 4, 2026 Super League
Pakhtakor vs OKMK
3:1
Aug 5, 2025 Super League
Pakhtakor vs OKMK
1:2
Mar 16, 2025 Super League
OKMK vs Pakhtakor
2:0
Nov 21, 2024 Super League
Pakhtakor vs OKMK
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OKMK Compare

Top Goalscorer Papava G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Pakhtakor Compare

Top Goalscorer Hussein A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ibrokhimov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OKMK 16 / 100
Pakhtakor 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OKMK Pakhtakor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pakhtakor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OKMK's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Pakhtakor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: OKMK remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

OKMK VS Pakhtakor
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

OKMK

(Home)
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3
Pakhtakor
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0
OKMK
19 Aug
OKMK
0 : 1
Din. Samarkand
13 Aug
Buxoro
2 : 0
OKMK
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Pakhtakor

(Away)
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3
Pakhtakor
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0
Andijan
29 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0
Pakhtakor
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
21 Aug
Pakhtakor
0 : 0
Termez Surkhon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 21 15 3 3 49:17 48
2 Pakhtakor 21 13 7 1 37:19 46
3 Navbahor Namangan 21 12 5 4 36:19 41
4 Lok. Tashkent 21 10 5 6 36:27 35
5 Buxoro 21 10 4 7 31:27 34
6 OKMK 21 9 5 7 29:28 32
7 Nasaf Qarshi 21 8 7 6 29:20 31
8 Andijan 21 9 3 9 26:24 30
9 Din. Samarkand 21 8 6 7 31:31 30
10 Sogdiana 21 8 4 9 37:41 28
11 Qizilqum 21 8 2 11 20:29 26
12 Termez Surkhon 21 6 5 10 18:28 23
13 Xorazm Urganch 21 5 6 10 17:29 21
14 Kokand 1912 21 4 8 9 19:29 20
15 Bunyodkor 21 6 1 14 20:35 19
16 Mashal Muborak 21 1 1 19 10:42 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)