Sport Picks

Stadium Background

OKMK vs Xorazm Urganch

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League OKMK Sport Majmuasi, Olmaliq
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Haghnazari S.
38'
Rafael Sabino
46'
Sub
Khamidzhonov S. In: Shiryaev M.
Out: Khamidzhonov S.

AI Match Summary

OKMK in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored OKMK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
OKMK
20%
Draws
10%
Xorazm Urganch
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: OKMK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Xorazm Urganch haven't matched OKMK's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and OKMK have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
OKMK Clean Sheet 20%
Xorazm Urganch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OKMK Xorazm Urganch
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.45 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Uzbekistan Cup
OKMK vs Xorazm Urganch
2:1
Sep 3, 2026 Super League
OKMK vs Xorazm Urganch
1:0
Mar 6, 2026 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs OKMK
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Super League
OKMK vs Xorazm Urganch
3:1
Apr 13, 2025 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs OKMK
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OKMK Compare

Top Goalscorer Haghnazari S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Xorazm Urganch Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OKMK 31 / 100
Xorazm Urganch 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OKMK Xorazm Urganch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OKMK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OKMK's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Xorazm Urganch let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

OKMK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

OKMK VS Xorazm Urganch
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

OKMK

(Home)
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1
Xorazm Urganch
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3
Pakhtakor
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0
OKMK
19 Aug
OKMK
0 : 1
Din. Samarkand
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Xorazm Urganch

(Away)
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1
Xorazm Urganch
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0
Sogdiana
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
25 Aug
Andijan
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
20 Aug
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3
Lok. Tashkent
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 22 16 3 3 50:17 51
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 22 5 6 11 18:32 21
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)