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Stadium Background

Okzhetpes vs Aktobe

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Okzhetpes Stadium, Kokshetau
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Leo Assunpcao
22'
Dosmagambetov T.
28'
Erlanov T.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Okzhetpes and Aktobe finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Okzhetpes
15%
Draws
46%
Aktobe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aktobe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Okzhetpes haven't matched Aktobe's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Okzhetpes Clean Sheet 68%
Aktobe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Okzhetpes Aktobe
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.48 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Premier League
Aktobe vs Okzhetpes
2:1
May 28, 2026 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Aktobe
2:2
Aug 17, 2025 Premier League
Aktobe vs Okzhetpes
2:1
May 17, 2025 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Aktobe
1:3
Oct 22, 2023 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Aktobe
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Okzhetpes Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdumannonov B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lototskyi B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Aktobe Compare

Top Goalscorer Laturnus V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Okzhetpes 41 / 100
Aktobe 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Okzhetpes Aktobe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OKZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Okzhetpes scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Aktobe has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Okzhetpes stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Okzhetpes VS Aktobe
1.38 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Okzhetpes

(Home)
09 Aug
FC Astana
2 : 1
Okzhetpes
02 Aug
Okzhetpes
4 : 1
Altai
25 Jul
Aktobe
2 : 1
Okzhetpes
18 Jul
Okzhetpes
2 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
12 Jul
Tobol
3 : 1
Okzhetpes
Page 1 of 6

Aktobe

(Away)
09 Aug
Atyrau
1 : 1
Aktobe
01 Aug
Kyzylzhar
3 : 1
Aktobe
25 Jul
Aktobe
2 : 1
Okzhetpes
19 Jul
Altai
2 : 4
Aktobe
12 Jul
FC Astana
3 : 2
Aktobe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 21 15 4 2 40:15 49
2 Kairat Almaty 20 13 6 1 39:14 45
3 FC Astana 20 11 5 4 33:21 38
4 Okzhetpes 21 9 6 6 30:29 33
5 Aktobe 21 9 5 7 30:25 32
6 Yelimay Semey 20 8 7 5 29:24 31
7 Ulytau 21 7 7 7 17:21 28
8 Kyzylzhar 21 6 5 10 25:30 23
9 Zhenis 20 5 8 7 17:23 23
10 Kaspij Aktau 21 6 4 11 22:29 22
11 Tobol 20 6 4 10 21:28 22
12 Atyrau 20 3 11 6 15:19 20
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 20 3 11 6 15:22 20
14 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 21 4 7 10 23:34 19
15 Ertis Pavlodar 20 3 8 9 20:28 17
16 Altai 21 3 8 10 18:32 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)