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Okzhetpes vs Aktobe Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Okzhetpes Stadium, Kokshetau
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Match Events

21'
Leo Assunpcao
22'
Dosmagambetov T.
28'
Erlanov T.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Okzhetpes and Aktobe finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Okzhetpes
15%
Draws
39%
Aktobe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Okzhetpes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Aktobe haven't matched Okzhetpes's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Okzhetpes a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Okzhetpes Clean Sheet 68%
Aktobe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Okzhetpes Aktobe
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.7 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Premier League
Aktobe vs Okzhetpes
2:1
May 28, 2026 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Aktobe
2:2
Aug 17, 2025 Premier League
Aktobe vs Okzhetpes
2:1
May 17, 2025 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Aktobe
1:3
Oct 22, 2023 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Aktobe
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Okzhetpes Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdumannonov B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lototskyi B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Aktobe Compare

Top Goalscorer Laturnus V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Okzhetpes 50 / 100
Aktobe 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Okzhetpes Aktobe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Okzhetpes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Okzhetpes scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Aktobe has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Okzhetpes stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Okzhetpes VS Aktobe
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Okzhetpes

(Home)
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
13 Sept
Ertis Pavlodar
2 : 1
Okzhetpes
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1
Ordabasy
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3
Okzhetpes
16 Aug
Atyrau
0 : 2
Okzhetpes
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Aktobe

(Away)
18 Sept
Aktobe
2 : 2
Ulytau
12 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 2
Aktobe
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0
Zhenis
30 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar
2 : 1
Aktobe
15 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 2
Aktobe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
5 Aktobe 26 12 6 8 38:31 42
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Ertis Pavlodar 25 6 8 11 26:34 26
12 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
14 Kyzylzhar 26 6 6 14 26:40 24
15 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 5 7 14 26:44 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)