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Okzhetpes vs CSKA Almaty Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2014 Okzhetpes Stadium, Kokshetau
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AI Match Summary

Okzhetpes in this First Division 2014 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Okzhetpes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Okzhetpes
20%
Draws
32%
CSKA Almaty
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Okzhetpes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • CSKA Almaty haven't matched Okzhetpes's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Okzhetpes have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Okzhetpes Clean Sheet 20%
CSKA Almaty Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Okzhetpes CSKA Almaty
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.7 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2014 First League
Okzhetpes vs CSKA Almaty
5:2
May 3, 2014 First League
CSKA Almaty vs Okzhetpes
1:4
Jul 27, 2013 First League
CSKA Almaty vs Okzhetpes
0:1
Jul 16, 2013 First League
Okzhetpes vs CSKA Almaty
1:0
Oct 13, 2011 First League
Okzhetpes vs CSKA Almaty
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Okzhetpes 31 / 100
CSKA Almaty 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Okzhetpes CSKA Almaty

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Okzhetpes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Okzhetpes found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

CSKA Almaty's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Okzhetpes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Okzhetpes VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Okzhetpes

(Home)
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
13 Sept
Ertis Pavlodar
2 : 1
Okzhetpes
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1
Ordabasy
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3
Okzhetpes
16 Aug
Atyrau
0 : 2
Okzhetpes
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CSKA Almaty

(Away)
22 Mar
CSKA Almaty
2 : 2
FC Ruzaevka
19 Mar
Maqtaaral
1 : 1
CSKA Almaty
24 Oct
FK Kyran
2 : 0
CSKA Almaty
17 Oct
CSKA Almaty
3 : 2
Kaspij Aktau
11 Oct
Bayterek Astana
0 : 2
CSKA Almaty
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Okzhetpes 28 21 1 6 59:33 64
2 FK Kyran 28 19 3 6 60:30 60
3 Zhenis 28 17 4 7 54:29 55
4 Akzhayik Uralsk 28 16 7 5 46:24 55
5 Kaspij Aktau 28 17 4 7 44:26 55
6 Vostok Oskemen 28 14 5 9 48:31 47
7 FC Ekibastuz 28 11 8 9 40:35 41
8 Sunkar 28 11 7 10 42:39 40
9 Kyzylzhar 28 12 1 15 41:45 37
10 Bayterek Astana 28 10 2 16 34:52 32
11 Taraz-Karatau 2 28 7 6 15 23:42 27
12 CSKA Almaty 28 6 6 16 32:54 24
13 Shakhtar Bulat 28 7 2 19 26:40 23
14 Gefest Karagandy 28 6 3 19 16:56 21
15 Maqtaaral 28 4 5 19 33:62 17
Promotion - Premier League 2015 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2014 (Relegation)