Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Okzhetpes vs FK Kyran

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2024 Okzhetpes Stadium
Thu, Aug 22, 2024
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Okzhetpes play FK Kyran in the First Division 2024. Okzhetpes are favorites here. Recently, Okzhetpes averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. FK Kyran averaged 0.44 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. In past meetings, Okzhetpes won 4, FK Kyran won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 22, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Okzhetpes and 1.25 for FK Kyran. This points to a Okzhetpes double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Okzhetpes
20%
Draws
12%
FK Kyran
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Okzhetpes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Okzhetpes picked up more points recently compared to FK Kyran.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Okzhetpes Clean Sheet 19%
FK Kyran Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Okzhetpes FK Kyran
Matches Played 30 9
Wins 12 1
Draws 8 0
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.37 0.44
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2024 First League
Okzhetpes vs FK Kyran
0:0
May 23, 2024 First League
FK Kyran vs Okzhetpes
0:1
Oct 9, 2022 First League
FK Kyran vs Okzhetpes
1:2
Jul 2, 2022 First League
Okzhetpes vs FK Kyran
4:0
Oct 17, 2021 First League
Okzhetpes vs FK Kyran
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Okzhetpes 65 / 100
FK Kyran 13 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Okzhetpes FK Kyran

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Okzhetpes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Okzhetpes & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.6%
1.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Okzhetpes attacking → ← attacking FK Kyran

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Okzhetpes scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

FK Kyran let in goals in 89% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Okzhetpes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FK Kyran lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 3
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Okzhetpes28203561:1663
2Ulytau28193669:2960
3Kaspij Aktau28184663:2958
4Kairat Almaty 228183767:4357
5Khan Tengri28174755:3055
6FC Ekibastuz28163954:3651
7Zhetisay28146850:3748
8Taraz281251137:3441
9Altai281151231:3738
10SD Family28941553:6431
11Akzhayik Uralsk28731824:4824
12Kaisar Kyzylorda 228571623:5622
13Turkistan28471726:7019
14Aktobe 228332225:7312
15Arys28541928:6410
16FK Kyran00000:00