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Okzhetpes vs Kaspij Aktau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Okzhetpes Stadium, Kokshetau
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Okzhetpes host Kaspij Aktau in the Premier League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Okzhetpes at 1.64 goals for, 1.43 against; Kaspij Aktau at 1.11 for, 1.39 against. Past meetings favor Okzhetpes slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 17, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.38, favoring Okzhetpes. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Okzhetpes
15%
Draws
31%
Kaspij Aktau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Okzhetpes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Okzhetpes lately — more wins on the board than Kaspij Aktau.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Okzhetpes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Okzhetpes Clean Sheet 17%
Kaspij Aktau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Okzhetpes Kaspij Aktau
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.64 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 Premier League
Kaspij Aktau vs Okzhetpes
1:3
Jul 17, 2024 First League
Kaspij Aktau vs Okzhetpes
0:1
Jun 14, 2024 First League
Okzhetpes vs Kaspij Aktau
1:0
Aug 26, 2023 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Kaspij Aktau
3:3
Apr 15, 2023 Premier League
Kaspij Aktau vs Okzhetpes
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Okzhetpes 66 / 100
Kaspij Aktau 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Okzhetpes Kaspij Aktau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Okzhetpes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Okzhetpes scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Kaspij Aktau conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Okzhetpes has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Okzhetpes VS Kaspij Aktau
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Okzhetpes

(Home)
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
13 Sept
Ertis Pavlodar
2 : 1
Okzhetpes
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1
Ordabasy
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3
Okzhetpes
16 Aug
Atyrau
0 : 2
Okzhetpes
Page 1 of 6

Kaspij Aktau

(Away)
18 Sept
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0 : 1
Kaspij Aktau
12 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 2
Aktobe
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3
Kairat Almaty
30 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 0
Tobol
16 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
2 : 2
Yelimay Semey
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
5 Aktobe 26 12 6 8 38:31 42
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Kyzylzhar 27 7 6 14 28:40 27
12 Ertis Pavlodar 26 6 8 12 26:36 26
13 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
14 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
15 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 5 7 14 26:44 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)