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Okzhetpes vs Kyzylzhar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Okzhetpes Stadium, Kokshetau
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Okzhetpes host Kyzylzhar in the Premier League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Okzhetpes at 1.72 goals for, 1.48 against; Kyzylzhar at 1 for, 1.48 against. Past meetings favor Okzhetpes slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.13) point toward Okzhetpes. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Okzhetpes
20%
Draws
11%
Kyzylzhar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Okzhetpes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Okzhetpes come out ahead of Kyzylzhar on wins alone.
  • Okzhetpes are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Okzhetpes Clean Sheet 68%
Kyzylzhar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Okzhetpes Kyzylzhar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.72 1
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Premier League
Kyzylzhar vs Okzhetpes
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League
Kyzylzhar vs Okzhetpes
3:1
May 31, 2025 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Kyzylzhar
3:2
Oct 1, 2023 Premier League
Kyzylzhar vs Okzhetpes
1:2
Mar 15, 2023 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Kyzylzhar
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Okzhetpes 95 / 100
Kyzylzhar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Okzhetpes Kyzylzhar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Okzhetpes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Okzhetpes's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Kyzylzhar has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Okzhetpes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Okzhetpes VS Kyzylzhar
2 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Okzhetpes

(Home)
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
13 Sept
Ertis Pavlodar
2 : 1
Okzhetpes
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1
Ordabasy
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3
Okzhetpes
16 Aug
Atyrau
0 : 2
Okzhetpes
Page 1 of 6

Kyzylzhar

(Away)
18 Sept
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
Kaisar Kyzylorda
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1
Kyzylzhar
05 Sept
Kyzylzhar
0 : 1
Atyrau
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0
Kyzylzhar
16 Aug
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
FC Astana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
5 Aktobe 26 12 6 8 38:31 42
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Ertis Pavlodar 25 6 8 11 26:34 26
12 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
14 Kyzylzhar 26 6 6 14 26:40 24
15 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 5 7 14 26:44 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)