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Stadium Background

Okzhetpes vs Yelimay Semey

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Okzhetpes Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Sviridov I.
Assist: Ilic H.
27'
Omirtaev O.
42'
Zhaksylykov A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Okzhetpes
6%
Draws
90%
Yelimay Semey
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Yelimay Semey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Yelimay Semey have won more games recently than Okzhetpes.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Yelimay Semey taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40.8%
Okzhetpes Clean Sheet 11%
Yelimay Semey Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Okzhetpes Yelimay Semey
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Yelimay Semey
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Yelimay Semey
1:1
May 4, 2025 Premier League
Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Okzhetpes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Yelimay Semey Compare

Top Goalscorer Sviridov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Okzhetpes 10 / 100
Yelimay Semey 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Okzhetpes Yelimay Semey

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Okzhetpes found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Yelimay Semey has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Okzhetpes stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Okzhetpes VS Yelimay Semey
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy17124130:1240
2Kairat Almaty18116134:1239
3FC Astana1785425:1929
4Okzhetpes1776422:2427
5Yelimay Semey1675424:1926
6Ulytau1775514:1526
7Aktobe1774622:1825
8Zhenis1756614:1921
9Atyrau1639412:1318
10Zhetysu Taldykorgan1746721:2518
11Tobol1753919:2518
12Kaisar Kyzylorda1839613:2018
13Kaspij Aktau17521015:2217
14Altai1737712:1816
15Kyzylzhar17431017:2515
16Ertis Pavlodar1718814:2211